HSVweather
Member
Timmer do a live analysis if anyone is interested
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Severe New Years Severe Weather Event
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
HSVweather
Member
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Yeah saw models show some isolated cells later this afternoon. My Alabama football game better not be interrupted ?
Did he mean outside chance? If not I cant find what outside change means lol.
One of the reasons why Twitter needs a edit button.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Should be fine game is on espn
RebelBearLandshark
Member
New SPC outlook expanded the enhanced zone further to the Northeast and slightly to the West.
TileDude
Member
Game is on ESPN so no local disruptions
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Unless the storms knock power out
Z
Zander98al
Guest
That's good I thought it was espn on ABC for some reason
RebelBearLandshark
Member
"Given these trends, will maintain the ongoing ENH risk area. However, there is acknowledgment of the risk of a higher end event including strong tornadoes if later guidance shows a weaker mid-level warm nose and more robust discrete convective development over the warm sector." From recent SPC forecast discussion.
TileDude
Member
So possible upgrade to a moderate risk ?
Z
Zander98al
Guest
16z hrrr simulated radar for 3 oclock today
Seems like FFC is at least keeping a keen eye on this short window this afternoon for some pretty strong storms
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1133 AM EST Fri Dec 31 2021
.UPDATE...
Dense morning fog has largely become more diffuse at this hour,
though a few holdout sites are still reporting visibilities
occasionally a mile or less. Visibilities in these areas will
continue to improve through early afternoon. How the afternoon and
evening forecast plays out is still rather uncertain. The forecast
area remains situated in the weakly forced warm sector. We have
already seen some isolated showers and a thunderstorm or two
across portions of north Georgia this morning. If additional
convection is able to develop and sustain itself this afternoon
and evening, the environment would be capable of supporting an
isolated severe threat. A couple of recent CAM runs have supported
the idea of a couple of isolated cells of supercellular appearance in
north Georgia by late afternoon and early evening, so this
potential will be monitored. Otherwise, it will remain another
very warm day with record breaking highs again possible.
Latest Hrrr certainly shows some storms this afternoon and evening. Will have to see if/how strong they are. Certainly something by to watch.
SPC
Latest SPC mesoscale discussion on Alabama severe potential this afternoon. Still seems rather conditional and they mention the hrrr as an outlier. Will have to monitor trends.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Hmmm. No mention of Georgia but they have Georgia circled ?
NWMSGuy
Member
Interesting
