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Wintry New Years Eve Light Wintry Mix The Anti ARCC/Xtreme Weather System

DadOfJax said:
With the growing number of newbies with 2 posts jumping in with smart ass remarks to people who have been around since 33/40 got the original weather forum going. other board was known for that garbage...but nothing was ever done. Just aggravating with the non contributing 1 liners from people who have no clue. This place is by far better than any wx forum out there....I digress, and appologize for the kneejerk remark. #lackofsnowfrustration
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Xtreme Weather said:
From BMX
A "Winter Weather Advisory" is issued for a winter weather situation that causes significant inconveniences, but does not meet warning (see above) criteria. The winter weather can still be life threatening if caution is not exercised. A Winter Weather Advisory is issued if more than one type of hazardous winter weather is expected, is occurring, or is imminent:

  • Sleet (ice pellets) accumulations of less than 1/2"
  • Freezing rain/drizzle (ice) accumulations less than 1/4"
  • Snowfall accumulations of 1/4" to 2" (A dusting of snow does not require an advisory)
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That was just the mix for the last time I got to driveway sled here in 05. 1/8 inch of sticking zr, and a 1/4 inch of sleet on top, and cold air in place to keep it down. They were calling for some very light rain mixed with zrain, and I got zrain mixed with sleet late. Iced down all the secondary concrete patches, and was good for the day before the melting took over. Had a great time on a neighbors drive with my flexie flyer...and in her field with my ski sled, lol. All depends on how cold it is at onset. Won't be much moisture so where it falls has to be cold, or getting there with evap cooling....then colder after. T
 
Looks like it’s radar watching time. Let’s see if we can get some juice. Lol.


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SoutheastRidge said:
This is a brutal stretch of cold for your area. It may struggle to get past 25 on Monday. I wonder when the last time Dallas went 3 straight days without getting above freezing.
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Its definitely been awhile I've been here since late 2014 and this is definitely gonna be up there for most impressive cold and certainly above anything the last two winters had
 
Know that it is tough for even hi res models to catch very light precip but noticing even back in Arkansas mping reports of freezing drizzle. I am beginning to get little concerned this can happen over into central Alabama later tonight into the a.m. Also looking at the plumes and it's printing out low "Total QPF" ( .05" or less) over close to the Georgia border. Hard to even pick up on radar but using SDP can see the drizzle little better (can use PD to an extent as well). Things may get tricky along I-20 corridor outside the current WA issued by BMX if enough low level moisture around.
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Check soundings for moisture in the snow growth region. It sitll does not look promising for areas that show blue on the NAM.
 
I hope I wake up to a nice glaze of ice on everything in the morning.
 
I just wanted to curb some expectations from newer members thinking the snow maps are real. Hopefully it works out for some closer to the deeper moisture, though!
 
NAM has this light area that rides down the spine of the state as well some wintry in it even for me if right lol
 
Just checked SREF plumes for KGVL (just across Lake Lanier from me to the east) and soundings data on Pivotal ... I just can't believe the NAM putting anything of note up my way tomorrow.

I will say this: IF -- and I believe it is a huge IF -- any winter precip were to fall around Atlanta tomorrow afternoon/evening, were it to even slightly slick up bridges or overpasses, it would be bad news. Tons of people in town for a huge Falcons game (Rise Up!) plus Monday's Peach Bowl and the typical NYE festivities downtown and general holiday travel.

--30--
 
And let me say this... This is very light precip/drizzle and percentages are low and nothing may happen just pointing out what the short term and hi res is spitting out.... With that said it only takes a light glaze to cause all hell to break loose

... Carry on
 
Xtreme Weather said:
Know that it is tough for even hi res models to catch very light precip but noticing even back in Arkansas mping reports of freezing drizzle. I am beginning to get little concerned this can happen over into central Alabama later tonight into the a.m. Also looking at the plumes and it's printing out low "Total QPF" ( .05" or less) over close to the Georgia border. Hard to even pick up on radar but using SDP can see the drizzle little better (can use PD to an extent as well). Things may get tricky along I-20 corridor outside the current WA issued by BMX if enough low level moisture around.
65_AE9_BC1-_CFA6-468_F-_A661-0_ABA5_FA6_AFC2.png
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Absolutely. Freezing mist or drizzle will coat everything quickly.
 
Stupid warm nose on the sounding here go away lol

Yeah freezing drizzle will stick like glue
 
Hmm... so this turning into.. oh well it was too dry or oh heck we got serious issues...even if it is nothing I’m interested to see what actually verifies... here, in Alabama and Mississippi
 
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