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Wintry New Years Eve Light Wintry Mix The Anti ARCC/Xtreme Weather System

HRRR has expansion of precip across south MS into AL...more in line with GFS, but hard to take too much from it since it only runs thru 18 hrs
 
Nam and the short range models seems to have a better agreement with increase moisture than the gfs
 
Storm5 said:
It’s becoming clear the nam fell of its rocker . There is absolutely nothing that supports it


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The German model, like the Nam, wants to give me a mix. Gfs shoves it into Fla. To me that's the fun of this, can't just go by models, have to look outside eventually :) The Nam did well with the last storm so right now, the Nam seems more sane. The look says water going by to the south, and cold air up here...equals possibilities, where Goofy is just saying no chance, when clearly there is a chance, with the parties involved so close together, lol. Chance on the northern fringes of the moisture shield, where ever that wants to be. Up here? Albany? Columbus? Back in Ala. there's chances for someone on the board. T
 
accu35 said:
Nam and the short range models seems to have a better agreement with increase moisture than the gfs
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The short range models don’t agree at all with the nam being too juiced it appears. Now I see why most NWS offices are not putting much weight into the nam runs


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wrf-arw2_asnow_seus_48.png
 
gawxnative said:
If light amounts yes..from what I understand they may mix "stronger" (i.e more salt) to combat that.. As long as liquid precip is not heavy enough to wash away... IMO I think they are being careful, due to amount of Metro ATL travel (Falcons/Carolina Game 430 tomm, plus Peach Bowl with Auburn/UCF Monday at 1230..) all that said, they prob will hit all the elevated interstates.
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Yeah, I’m coming over from Birmingham for the Falcons game tomorrow. Keeping a close eye on weather here and there.
 
Hr. 30 - CMC is slightly further north with the precip into MS/AL. There's more of a surface low reflection in the GOM albeit very weak still.

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_5.png


Compared to 00z last night, SLP was much more broad/weaker.
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_7.png
 
Weatherlover92 said:
Hr. 30 - CMC is slightly further north with the precip into MS/AL. There's more of a surface low reflection in the GOM albeit very weak still.

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_5.png


Compared to 00z last night, SLP was much more broad/weaker.
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_7.png
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Yeah, im stuck on hr 30
 
So the UKMET looks a little NAMish!
And we have the RAP on board. Getting interesting!
 
Huge support for Z/R or IP for Central Miss and West Central AL on latest GEFS. Light, but supportive fwiw


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Storm5 said:
Euro on board
3e578af03c2b2cf38ab3ef53fe44caee.jpg



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It's like magnetism, lol, when there is rain down there and cold up here, there is often a surprise, that the models don't get until late. I always end up watching the returns out of Miss, and Ala. when it's like this, because it rarely blooms like on Goofy then nose dives away into nothing. It either blooms and surprises, or just goes dry early on, but these weak scenarios, can offer surprises. The question is will it be cold enough when the top of the bloom gets to were it's going? At least someone is on tap to get a nice surprise, even if it's much needed rain showers, lol.
The Canadian must be doing New Years early, and got soused, lol. Still at 30.
 
Well for my knowledge...at this point are we looking at Meso features being the determining factor(s) .. also IMO think BHM and FFC AFD this evening will be interesting
 
Guys....this is freezing drizzle at the most. Hardly anything to get excited about unless you like slick roads that you can't see.
 
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