Icon and cmc are coolerIn my cold weenie head, this is torch
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Naughty November
- Thread starter LickWx
- Start date
Keep in mind for most areas outside the mountains average highs are still in the low to mid 60s this time of the year. So while these might be a few degrees above that, it’s not anything unusual for last week of NovemberIn my cold weenie head, this is torch
Speak for yourself, 70 would be +10 here
I prefer highs in the 40s or max of low 50s on Thanksgiving to avoid smelling like a locker room when everyone comes in from playing football.In my cold weenie head, this is torch
Lots of southern stream waves on GEFS members 
Yeah anything +10 and up is a torch in my book. Hopefully it's wrong.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I was hoping this pattern would have a lot of staying power. Nope.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Well ok then
Sounds like the last 3 December’s, lol
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Ugh. Hopefully that means we get 2017-18 again
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Just need the next few frames to move this 1000 miles East and keep it there for a few days... or weeks... then bring in the SJ...hmmmm☃
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
You're definitely getting your wish regarding the subtropical jet, it keeps cranking on the EPS thru day 10. Carolinas & mid-Atlantic are in the left exit region, favors deep mid-latitude cyclones
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
An active subtropical jet + favorable longwave pattern/+PNA is showing up on both the GEFS & EPS just beyond day 10. I'll take my chances every single day of the week w/ a pattern like that
Yeah, the EPS was very nice looking in regards to moisture, cold air would be the issue. I'd get excited if we could get that ridge about 500 miles north, then we'd be calling early December 2018 an analog.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah, no doubt if this was the heart of winter, we'd be at least 3-4F+ degrees cooler in the means and certainly have a real good chance. Pattern looks just favorable enough imo where I think we may have a legitimate shot down the line.
We'll have to see what emerges in due time and it may end up looking cooler than that if this pattern comes to fruition because those long range ensemble means often damp out the true anomalies due to dispersion &/or if we happen to get a particularly strong mid-latitude cyclone that creates its own cold air and is able to draw more cP air out of Canada.
Is there a reason that you can see that we see such an active STJ in these last few LaNina Decembers. I’ve always understood LaNina to generally have less of influence from the STJ and thus expect dryer conditions across the southeast
Brent
Member
384 hours lol