gawxnative
Member
AS an FYI... KHTX (Hilltop/Huntsville) NEXRAD is down until further with Mechanical/transmission issue
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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
Stormlover
Member
Stormlover
Member
Hytop
One reason it is dying out. Is because the hrrr only goes out to 18 hours. And so it not that reliable at that hour. I would trust it at 10 and under hours.
The HRRR is good at times but even it is like most other models and best in it's "short range" not "long range", seriously I think it's great within 10 hours, sometimes beyond that it changes can be often and significant. Just something to think about.... wouldn't worry too much about it showing that at hr 18
Just a note, the NAM has nine hours of good returns over central AL on composite radar, yet doesn't print out much QPF or snowfall. I guess it is saying a small dry layer at the surface evaporates it. Keep an eye on that.
StormStalker
Member
Snowing at the NWS office in Memphis.
Stormlover
Member
a youtube radar view to watch it come in
W
WeatherLC
Guest
Is this system essentially upper level in nature vs a coastal low?
BKWRN29
Member
When do the next models come out?
This has got to be the slowest moving system ever. That area of snow in KY hasn't moved in hours.
packfan98
Moderator
We are so close for some to the event starting, that there are short range models that come out every hour. The best of those is probably the hrrr. The SREF plumes will come out around 8:30. The NAM suite runs at 9:00 and the RGEM at 10:00.
Parker
Member
NAM should be out about 8 CST, new SREF plumes around 7:15-7:30 CST.
Hrrr refreshes every hour
Then you have the rap
Then you have the rpm
Then you have the nam which starts about 8.
Does anyone think that 1/9-10/1962 MIGHT be an analog for this for ATL and RDU?
http://library.noaa.gov/Collections/Digital-Documents/US-Daily-Weather-Maps
Like now, the PNA, NAO, and AO were solidly + while the EPO was pretty neutral. ENSO was then cold neutral, which isn't too far off the current borderline weak/moderate La Nina. Like for this one, there was no Gulf surface low and there was a SW-NE oriented band of overrunning behind a very strong cold front though the surface high of 1/1962 was much stronger at 1060 mb vs the current one of only 1045 mb. Like for this one, surface winds at ATL were NW.
http://library.noaa.gov/Collections/Digital-Documents/US-Daily-Weather-Maps
Like now, the PNA, NAO, and AO were solidly + while the EPO was pretty neutral. ENSO was then cold neutral, which isn't too far off the current borderline weak/moderate La Nina. Like for this one, there was no Gulf surface low and there was a SW-NE oriented band of overrunning behind a very strong cold front though the surface high of 1/1962 was much stronger at 1060 mb vs the current one of only 1045 mb. Like for this one, surface winds at ATL were NW.
Stormlover
Member
NAM will start sooner than that central time
I think the NAM runs around 8:30 PM.
Storm5
Member
HRRR gives Memphis just short of 5 inches
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Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Nice
Hopefully it will up the totals in north/central alabama till the east.