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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Um, what just happened. If RGEM, and ICON are right then we won’t be driving anywhere the rest of the week. I love those model outputs!
 
Easily could. Do you think it can't snow at 40F? Do I need to give your professors a call?

Do you think it can snow w/ surface temps in the upper 30s-near 40F with extremely light QPF in the midst of warm southwesterly flow aloft right off the Gulf? You do realize the few times it snows when temps are above the mid 30s we have extremely cold northwesterly flow in association w/ an Alberta Clipper... This isn't one of those cases. Maybe I should give your professors a call...
 
Wouldn't places like us here in the upstate benefit from isentropic lift, wouldn't that cause things to ramp up a bit East of the apps?

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Wind direction has absolutely nothing to do with it. It's all about the column temperature and precip rate. The column is below freezing to below 925mb. It almost certainly would be snow within 15 minutes of precipitation starting.

It actually has a lot to do w/ it, but in any case I'm amazed how you can be so sure of yourself and specific on the evolution of this p-type change this far out. Would be very unfortunate if the 15 minutes of precipitation was too light to overcome the warm layer near the ground.
 
If anybody is gutsy enough to make any call maps for the SE for tomorrow, somebody make a call map thread. I’d be curious to see some of yalls thoughts.
 
I actually think no snow/travel problems is a good thing for me and my family who will have no choice but to travel. So Im being positive.
 
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