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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Southeast Huntsville at 26 degrees and the snow has been going for 10 minutes. Rooftops and elevated surfaces turning white.
 
Durn SREF still says just over 40% chance of snow here, and I already have what it said for mean totals and it just started, lol. Shooting for that 1.64 boom and might make it
Yeah they are clearly gonna bust.....again

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Madison County Sheriff’s Office: All secondary roads in Madison County are becoming icy/treacherous. Stay off the roads if possible, or use extreme caution.
 
Looking at Mobile radar there looks to be a good amount of moisture coming in out of the Gulf across MS heading to the NNE.
 
Shows plenty of moisture, in fact 0.30. Just keeps us all rain for a lot of the time which I have serious doubts it does.

Could be wrong and if what is going on to our west is any indication of what might happen....then our system is going to over perform what is being modeled.


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Also, a quick word from NWS Huntsville:
Based on latest radar and observations, think the models have underdone the strength of the front. Quite a strong temperature gradient from NW AL where it is snowing (mid-20s) to western TN behind the back edge of the snow (5-6 degrees). We are also seeing some localized banding which is likely due to some frontogenetic forcing. Was initially concerned looking back to our SW over central MS with radars showing snow breaking up and hinting at the idea models were showing yesterday with a possible hole in snowfall over northern AL. But that area has filled back in and think that even the latest model guidance is under-doing the precip a bit. Could see totals a little higher than forecast in the bands. If anyone has any snow totals please pass them along
 
FWIW, the 12z GFS
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