Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[Brett]

Here's my final call map for NC. I didn't change the amounts a whole lot from yesterday just shifted the axis further east a tad and added an inch to it...
View attachment 3095

How much for Southeast Virginia in your opinion?

 

[David Lowery]

Here's my final call map for NC. I didn't change the amounts a whole lot from yesterday just shifted the axis further east a tad and added an inch to it...
View attachment 3095

Great map, thanks!!!!

 

[Parker]

Yeah I saw that it really look good down my also. Not sure which model their using now

It had to be something close to the RGEM, I mean that run that they showed has to be what ABC and NWS is talking about when they mention upgrading to winter storm warning. It was crazy how it just built back to the NW and then stalled for hours.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Saw this at the other board:

SREF mean for RDU 2.64 (up from 1.98), range from 1" to 4.16

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[ForsythSnow]

Chris mentioned it earlier, but notice how it has redevelopment of snow occurring down in SE LA/S. MS on 12z run that wasn’t on the 10 or 11z runs.

Yeah, the HRRR picked up on dry/wet trends better last storm in the Carolinas, so if we get this wetter trend and better development in N GA trends as well, we could not be so screwed after all. The 12Z HRRR has a band developing well west of me after the initial one falls apart. This would not only help me, but also all in the ATL area.

 

[jaymackd3]

Snow has already covered the parking lot at work just south of Athens, AL...sticking immediately.

 

[packfan98]

12z Nam looks better for central AL.

 

[Storm5]

Lots of snow covered roads across northern Mississippi via tweeter

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[DixieBlizzard]

This is good news, in my opinion, for north Alabama. Check out this loop.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=gwx&loop=yes

 

[malak05]

Yeah, the HRRR picked up on dry/wet trends better last storm in the Carolinas, so if we get this wetter trend and better development in N GA trends as well, we could not be so screwed after all. The 12Z HRRR has a band developing well west of me after the initial one falls apart. This would not only help me, but also all in the ATL area.

Yeah will be interesting next couple of HRRR runs as if that continues to build and fill in over W GA to Carolina we will possible get a sustained additional snowfall for 4-5 hours tonight

PS. latest RAP run has similarity to HRRR

 

[sigwx]

I j

Snow has already covered the parking lot at work just south of Athens, AL...sticking immediately.

I just spoke to my son in Florence and he said he has a dusting but it has just started w/ the big flakes

 

[DadOfJax]

Lots of snow covered roads across northern Mississippi via tweeter

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Looks like totals are going to be a big bust there though.

 

[packfan98]

Nam also looks improved for GA

 

[Parker]

NAM also shows that band really intensifying at the 20/59 corridor. If that band can stall and build a little more than people in southern tuscaloosa, Jefferson, Shelby, bibb, and others may do well.

 

[packfan98]

And SC!

 

[Storm5]

Looks like totals are going to be a big bust there though.

Seeing many 1-2 inch totals

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[J.C.]

Latest plume is up to 2 for KATL...
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/

The mean is .46", the 2" is an outlier.

 

[Brick Tamland]

NAM coming in all juicy!

 

[skywatcher]

Just started snowing in north Madison, AL.