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May 2021 Discussion Thread

I don’t like the 500mb winds out the west like that we often sneak little tornado setups with them 82C10F7F-6CF9-4275-8ACF-01790DB838BC.png40B8F3D9-165A-4F93-A75A-DE53D219B036.png
 
The GEPS and GEFS are showing a pattern change starting around the 15th of May. Ridge developing over the central U.S
 
After May 15th the MJO will be fast tracking towards the warmer phases and will bring about a pattern change to warmer around the 20th. It's only the beginning of May, long lasting warmth doesn't really arrive until later in May per climo
Long lasting warmth should start late April early may ... always has really this year has had some notable longer lasting cool down way later than what would usually happen
 
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