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Pattern Marvelous March

UK looks solid at day 6.
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This has been a great look. The agony over a sheared south wave yesterday left me scratching my head. We don’t want an exploding wave of low pressure 7 days out...now right on cue everyone’s getting bullseyed with plenty of time for more NW movement. Congratulations
 
Storm5 said:
Yeah I still don’t get why some punted this window . It’s been the most consistent thing


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Folks are jaded and ready to punt on 3rd and long. Ultimately this may end up only effecting climo favorable areas but it bears watching.


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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
This has been a great look. The agony over a sheared south wave yesterday left me scratching my head. We don’t want an exploding wave of low pressure 7 days out...now right on cue everyone’s getting bullseyed with plenty of time for more NW movement. Congratulations
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No we don't. We need it as weak and as sheared and as far south as possible until about 48 hours out.
 
Rain Cold said:
No we don't. We need it as weak and as sheared and as far south as possible until about 48 hours out.
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Last time that didn’t work out for us though... the near miss coastal never came far enough north to bring precip inland. Honestly this look at day 7 is about as good as we could hope for. Plenty of time to watch this and for things to change as well.
 
GaWx said:
Yep, definitely not a good run for ATL in more ways than one. And if it happens just like the 12Z run has, ATL snow weenies will be quite upset at being teased with only a little snow accumulating north side and none in city south.
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But makes total sense climatologically. March accumulating snows are rare so if far northern suburbs get some that may be a best case scenario.


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deltadog03 said:
I guess everyone should be ALL in for this potential. As has been said before, I think after that we probably torch into early spring. MJO will scoot out of the “best” phases as well.
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Doesn’t MJO not effect us little at all after the heart of winter?
 
snowlover91 said:
Last time that didn’t work out for us though... the near miss coastal never came far enough north to bring precip inland. Honestly this look at day 7 is about as good as we could hope for. Plenty of time to watch this and for things to change as well.
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Great point. I think there’s an exception when it comes to coastals. The big one that hit the low country last year never got the NW movement everyone around here wanted. I don’t think the bias applies with a storm forming just off the coast.
 
NCCWOP9077 said:
There are a few good looks for parts of the SE, just need this to be consistent several more days, but this a good sign for now. Maybe some folks can score first week in March...
47d6383fea2e80dcf0419930acb7db86.jpg


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6 big dogs on there for NC. I think that is an increase.
 
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NCCWOP9077 said:
There are a few good looks for parts of the SE, just need this to be consistent several more days, but this a good sign for now. Maybe some folks can score first week in March...
47d6383fea2e80dcf0419930acb7db86.jpg


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What's really neat is to look at these images and actually be forced to stop and think about which one you like the best.
 
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