Snowflowxxl
Member
How did Euro look for the svr?
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Not really. Once the MJO reaches the Indian Ocean in a week or so, it will kickstart a wave train that'll once again drop a trough into the western US & Canadian Rockies by the time we pass the mid point in March & this trough/SER couplet only becomes stronger as the MJO reaches phases 4 & 5. We really don't want a cold pattern in late March anyway because our snow climo is definitely beyond trash esp after March 25.
Bring on the heat !! May even see diurnal t-storms earlier than normal with a SER dome like that and typical daytime heating
IS YOU OUT YOUR MIND??? I CAN PUT CLOTHES ON TO STAY WARM, BUT LEGALLY THE POPO WONT LET ME TAKE ENOUGH OFF TO STAY COOL
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Some have already thrown in the towel with the first system around March 3-4, but I definitely wouldn't especially considering how close the Euro, EPS, and other NWP were/currently are to producing some snow around the I-40 corridor.
It’s all about the positives ? Pool weather, cool afternoon pulse storms and there outflows, nice yard, pollen, and soon graduation !!!!!!!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
0z EPS is generally about the same as the previous run, while the strongest signal remains around March 6th for snow/ice, I wouldn't ignore the first system around March 3-4th.
agree, it’s probably the best shot I’ve had at a actual nice accumulating snow since that dec storm, it could still be a big one
Yeah that March 3-5th storm definitely can’t be written off, not bad ?
I’m so confused why ur so angry... I’ve seen no negative trends
6z gfs is probably gonna be that crazy run, things phasing a better time this run
No CAD sig tho, this might be a I-40-north storm on the 6z gfs
It’s not a crazy run so far ??
, still has a good storm but energy is pretty different this run (I couldn’t sleep due to this constant cough/congestion) 
, still has a good storm but energy is pretty different this run (I couldn’t sleep due to this constant cough/congestion)
Gfs is speeding up the energy with the “secondary storm”, interesting, quicker you can get that secondary energy in, better shot at some sort of good phasing
6z GFS clownmap
All in
Little shifts with confluence can majorly affect our storm 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
EPS looks good, GFS has the storm, and the FV3 totals look more realistic, which I think makes it an even more legit threat. Still looking good right now.
Storm5
Member
Wait , your judging the legitimacy of the threat off the FV3 totals??????
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D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Haven’t you heard? The FV 3 proved its value with the December storm. When it’s on, it’s on! (Please excuse the banter).
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Actually, I was mistaken. I was looking at the GFS totals. But the map isn't so absurd, and the EPS mean is looking good, too. Just saying if all the models are still showing something, then it should be considered more of a legit threat.
For the Midlands members: 00z EPS backed off in CAE.. while the 06z GEFS didn't lose members, but much lighter. Looking over this morning's modeling, and we might not get what I had hoped with previous day's modeling.
damn I'll take even some wet snow mixing in with rain at this point! you think that's even possible?
Flo
Member
Cold miserable rain. Just to piss us off one last time before spring.
packfan98
Moderator
Ok folks, let's keep those banter comments in the appropriate thread. We will be moving or deleting them as they are starting to clutter up this discussion thread. Thanks!
You’ll do realize that this snow accum formula is way off, right? S GA, much less far N FL, is NOT even getting snow with 850s comfortably above 0C and the surface well above 32. Tidbits is way off here. This looks plain silly.
sorry my bad
Does the Fv3 have a NW bias also?
FV3 has a Cold bias so you could say, along with its many other problems, yes it has a tendency to move NW as we near verification
The FV3 has a strong cold bias. That’s all I know. And these snow maps from tidbits are a joke. This is crap. They do this repeatedly, putting snow where it is much too warm for snow. This problem has nothing to do with the cold bias.
Storm5
Member
12z icon next Monday . This is not the “ main “ system
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Yep this has been brought up time and time again this winter, those TT snow maps of the FV3 are deceiving to say the least..... and not to get into too much discussion in here about it (because that horse is dead lol) but to your point here is the map from pivotalweather, same hour.
tonysc
Member
Just remember, the heat will last at least through September. I can wait a while for it myself.
It’s coming in cold with pronounced wedge signature.12z icon next Monday . This is not the “ main “ system
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Tidbits does not have sleet or freezing rain colors on the ICON, it's just snow or rain, all of us seem to go over this a lot. There's a period of ice all the way down to the SC border on there if you go by those temps.