• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Marvelous March

Myfrotho704_ said:
Trust me, we’ve seen this before, with qpf that much more north, low will trend north, anyways this pattern is much more favorable for a CAD/miller B transfer anyways with the -EPO
Click to expand...
GEFS def showing a transfer. Right now it’s happening over SC. Hopefully it’s not already in NC by tomorrow afternoon.. atmospheric memory theory tells me either way that’s the end game ☹️
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Welp there’s always Boone or roxboro ? don’t tell wilks about this one
Click to expand...
Def headed to Banner Elk if I can time one to hit on a Thursday or a Friday. If I could just get a trough to dig in long enough for some NW flow to kick in I would be happy. Ive gotten pounded up on Sugar Mtn from those
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Def headed to Banner Elk if I can time one to hit on a Thursday or a Friday. If I could just get a trough to dig in long enough for some NW flow to kick in I would be happy. Ive gotten pounded up on Sugar Mtn from those
Click to expand...

I’ve never actually seen a NW flow event, based on what I see on webcams tho there equivalent to a convective snow shower, hope you get some snow over there, just watch a wedge set up tho?
 
Webberweather53 said:
Lol.

Oh wow a cold pattern! annnnddddd it's gone.
View attachment 16313
Click to expand...

Looks like the EPS is trending warmer towards the GEFS solution. No surprise, it seems all winter we have been getting a cold look in the 8-10 day range only to see it warm up dramatically as we get inside 7 days. There’s a brief window March 3-6th that might work but after that I think chances are done.
 
snowlover91 said:
Looks like the EPS is trending warmer towards the GEFS solution. No surprise, it seems all winter we have been getting a cold look in the 8-10 day range only to see it warm up dramatically as we get inside 7 days. There’s a brief window March 3-6th that might work but after that I think chances are done.
Click to expand...

I’ve pretty much written off the March 1-5 window. March 6 and later might happen, but I’m way less optimistic this morning than I was last night. This just sucks, we can’t even buy a pattern the first week of March. We may never realistically get another chance at snow until next winter.








Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Jon said:
I’ve pretty much written off the March 1-5 window. March 6 and later might happen, but I’m way less optimistic this morning than I was last night. This just sucks, we can’t even buy a pattern the first week of March. We may never realistically get another chance at snow until next winter.








Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...


To be fair, outside a run here or there we never had a great storm signal. When guys like Delta and Storm are nowhere to be found, it’s time to regroup and hope for a better go around next year.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Jon said:
I’ve pretty much written off the March 1-5 window. March 6 and later might happen, but I’m way less optimistic this morning than I was last night. This just sucks, we can’t even buy a pattern the first week of March. We may never realistically get another chance at snow until next winter.








Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...


Yeah the more the cold is delayed the worse it is for snow chances. It gets tougher later in March to get snow the longer the cold holds back and even IF we can get some cold in the area it needs to be a strong cold press. I’m thinking the window is March 2-6th based on ensembles and after that it’s hello spring.
 
Ncweather said:
12z Cmc came in farther south as well for March 4th. Not enough but it's close. So there's definitely a storm signal around that time frame.
Click to expand...
I have to agree ... this time-frame looks good for a storm. Question is ..... will it be suppressed like the GFS or will is be north like the FV3. My bet is that it will end up north. Probably too far north for even NC to have wintry precip. I am just going off of this winter's history. All I ask for is a good coastal storm and I will take my chances with the temps.
 
fv3p_asnow_eus_41.png
I would and still say this is the most horrible model in the model history, 100% pure crap. Oh, let's not forget the Dec storm it nailed SMH. Anyways, fv3 little extreme again, but could be on to something like the gfs.
 
I don’t think that looks is bad for the FV3 I think all models are showing us the potential for the storm.. there’s potential for a big snow ice storm like the Fv3 is showing ... the Gfs says nah we get suppression and cold .. Euro says what storm? For now but still has a generally good pattern set up for a storm... need some support here from the euro to really take this thing and start a thread for it
 
Nick_boynton_ said:
I don’t think that looks is bad for the FV3 I think all models are showing us the potential for the storm.. there’s potential for a big snow ice storm like the Fv3 is showing ... the Gfs says nah we get suppression and cold .. Euro says what storm? For now but still has a generally good pattern set up for a storm... need some support here from the euro to really take this thing and start a thread for it
Click to expand...
Honestly if Euro shows storm the chance will increase.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top