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Pattern Marvelous March

18z GFS with two suppressed waves in the March 4-7 timeframe... those have been showing up on earlier runs. 0C 850 line stays south of NC throughout and covers most of SC for a good chuck as well.

Unrelated but someone over at AmericanWx posted that March 1960 shows up as an analog for the upcoming pattern. For anyone who wants to review: Feb-March 1960 storms
 
Can I get a NW trend plz
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ATLwxfan said:
Now the fact that we’ve gone through an entire winter without a flurry ITP is a first for the 7 years I’ve lived here.


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That isn't true. I was around downtown the entire morning of the 24th, and from 9:30 up until almost noon there were off and on flurries and occasional light snow from I-20 all the way up through midtown. WSB even posted a video that day.
 
18Z GFS: here we go again....a run with new records o for Chi, this time the coldest yet with records (in some cases shattered) for cold lows and highs Chi 3/3-5! It is interesting that this has appeared, disappeared, and reappeared several times between the FV3 and GFS. If only the SE could tap the bottom of this historic cold, assuming it gets there, just a bit more, much of the SE could be in business. This air is colder than that that preceded both the 3/1960 and 3/1980 storms/cold and is about as cold as it can get there in early March. That's why I'm not giving up yet.
 
GaWx said:
18Z GFS: here we go again....a run with new records o for Chi, this time the coldest yet with records (in some cases shattered) for cold lows and highs Chi 3/3-5! It is interesting that this has appeared, disappeared, and reappeared several times between the FV3 and GFS. If only the SE could tap the bottom of this historic cold, assuming it gets there, just a bit more, much of the SE could be in business. This air is colder than that that preceded both the 3/1960 and 3/1980 storms/cold and is about as cold as it can get there in early March. That's why I'm not giving up yet.
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;)
 
J.C. said:
That isn't true. I was around downtown the entire morning of the 24th, and from 9:30 up until almost noon there were off and on flurries and occasional light snow from I-20 all the way up through midtown. WSB even posted a video that day.
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I live in ATL, it was the lightest snow i've ever seen and lasted about 20 minuets. Might as well not count, you had to squint to see anything.
 
High pressure dominated MSLP the late hours of that 06z GFS run. That’s what I want. I would like cold air to build in first. Either way I’ll take seasonally cold and dry at this point
 
EmersonGA said:
I wonder how much of early last freezes has to do with the continued development inside the city increasing the heat island. Most areas just outside, and a few inside, have had a handful of freezes this month. Heck, I checked last year at my house and my last freeze was late April with a frost on May 1st. Just makes me wonder if perhaps new thermometer locations would change the perception in some areas such as this.
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I'd like to see some more sites included. When I was a kid you went by what temp was at the Heart of Atlanta motel downtown not the airport...that was too far south. The airport has it's own climate, and there are microclimes all over. I had more rain this summer than anyone around me and cooler temps, so I won't go by the airport as to the kind of summer I had. I'd like to see a blend of stations around Atl, a blend of say 10 readings in the local. Could be just a service even...to say this is what the weather was outside the airport, lol.
 
GaWx said:
18Z GFS: here we go again....a run with new records o for Chi, this time the coldest yet with records (in some cases shattered) for cold lows and highs Chi 3/3-5! It is interesting that this has appeared, disappeared, and reappeared several times between the FV3 and GFS. If only the SE could tap the bottom of this historic cold, assuming it gets there, just a bit more, much of the SE could be in business. This air is colder than that that preceded both the 3/1960 and 3/1980 storms/cold and is about as cold as it can get there in early March. That's why I'm not giving up yet.
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I have to say.... if we could get an old fashioned southern phased system, with that kind of cold air to tap, it would be historic for all of us.
 
18z GEFS says wait until March 5th but there's a signal for some kind of system with a few snowy members
 
and Now we wait ... just a few more minutes until the Gfs twins have they’re new take on the storm. Looks like both st least have more moisture at this hour
 
What a cold run, wouldn't be suprise at all if we start seeing a storm pop up soon first week of March
 
Still ends poorly but who wants a deep trough in mid March. Miss me w that bs
0197AA91-BAE4-4825-B3EB-249B50AECC8F.png
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
Yes but track is still showing up off the coast opposed to shifting NW. if anything with the Ensembles showing totals so high far out could be sniffing out a wet system.
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Trust me, we’ve seen this before, with qpf that much more north, low will trend north, anyways this pattern is much more favorable for a CAD/miller B transfer with the -EPO
 
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