Latest from Greg Fishel.
UPDATE 4:25 PM: NO WARNINGS WITH LINE OF STORMS NOW, BUT...
If you live in the Triangle, you may have noticed that the fog lifted, skies brightened, and the temperature jumped to near 70. So we are clearly on the warm side of the boundary now. A concentrated area of pressure falls associated with the aforementioned mesolow, is advancing in our direction. Currently the storms are moving through relatively cool and stable air, but when they get here in a couple of hours, they'll be in an entirely different environment, so we still have to watch out for these storms to intensify as they move in our direction. No watches yet, but the Storm Prediction Center is considering issuing one. Overall their threat level is considerably lower than it was this time yesterday, which does not surprise me based on what I talked about yesterday. Nonetheless, it ain't over 'til it's over! I know you all want definite answers. Heck, I want definite answers! But the atmosphere doesn't work that way. Subtle differences can have huge impacts.