fog is clearing and peaks of sun visible
What time do you give for that squall line working through RDU area?
That stuff Greg Fishel was twlking about coming to fruition further west than he thought.It has definitely brightened up here in Moncure, especially in the past 15-20 minutes. Temp is 61.5.
Can tell right off the bat that supercells today will probably be more mini/low topped in nature (which models struggle to show UH wise), may be some deeper updrafts later tho as instability increases
Yep lol exactly what I talked about yesterday wrt interpreting UH tracks & sim reflectivity from the CAMs. These fields on the models w/ 3km resolution are just easily influenced by storm size as they are the actual conditions and the lack of them on a model doesn't necessarily equate to a bust or crappy environment. You can just have a ton of smaller supercells that are harder for the models to resolve and as these cells grow upscale, the model errors may become exceptionally large.
Trying to decide if/when/where to chase. 69F
Let’s chase brother. Wayne county let’s do itI was just about to ask that since a large number of the mitigating factors IE longer wedging, lack of instability seem to now be more clear and primed then what's to stop these cells from growing and becoming larger supes as they encounter the better environment of the Midlands and central and eastern NC? What mitigating factors are left to get in the way
I’m not sure. It’s tough to tell, I wanna say the big one in Greenville will cut just north, so somewhere in between that and hartwell will probably impact hereSleet City -
Don't you think the cells that will affect us directly are in the Hartwell, GA area right now (based on your last radar post)? So probably 1-2 hours away? Lots of time for continued heating.