Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

[GaWx]

What's everyone's landfall intensity call?

Wild guess: 953 mb/125 mph meaning strongest storm in that region in over 100 years

 

[Henry2326]

Lord, what a beast....

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

View attachment 152928

The intensity models are already wrong. Milton has regained CAT 5 intensity based on recent reconnaissance and improved satellite presentation since the last mission.

 

[BHS1975]

Lord, what a beast....

You can see the four Mesovorts in the eye.

 

[Henry2326]

Hwrf and hmon show the next lowest pressures on Wednesday morning at 919 and 912 pressures respectively.

HAFS A and B are also Wednesday morning at 925 and 918.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Let's believe that since they've done such a phenomenal job this week.....

View attachment 152929

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[Henry2326]

So are you trying to say we're going to get to the higher of those numbers in 3 hours?

I'm saying that's the low point for each tomorrow.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[NCSNOW]

What's everyone's landfall intensity call?

139.64786mph right dead square into the Bay.

 

[Cbmatt2408]

This think looks like it downshifted and has the foot on the accelerator again. That eye has cleared out and the core has regained some nice symmetry.

 

[Snowfan]

AL, 14, 2024100818, , BEST, 0, 225N, 881W, 140, 920, HU
Cat 5 again.

 

[Brick Tamland]

I think this is going to be a cat 4 at least at landfall.

 

[Brent]

AL, 14, 2024100818, , BEST, 0, 225N, 881W, 140, 920, HU

Cat 5 again

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[Henry2326]

This think looks like it downshifted and has the foot on the accelerator again. That eye has cleared out and the core has regained some nice symmetry.

This is not good....

 

[lexxnchloe]

110mph and since its weakening wind will be more like a cat1. Surge however will be that of a major cane.

 

[Chazwin]

110mph and since its weakening wind will be more like a cat1. Surge however will be that of a major cane.

I looks like there’s going to be some jet enhancement as it’s starting a conversion to extra tropical conversion… that will likely help to keep some very strong gusts, 110-130mph even if it does weaken down to cat 2. My guess is around 120mph at landfall

 

[Rain Cold]

945 mb and 140 mph landfall.

Looks like it's off to the races again. Nice symmetry on the sat.

 

[Henry2326]

I looks like there’s going to be some jet enhancement as it’s starting a conversion to extra tropical conversion… that will likely help to keep some very strong gusts, 110-130mph even if it does weaken down to cat 2. My guess is around 120mph at landfall

I'm confused. What's with the cat2? We have 4 hurricane models that are cat3 or 4.....why oh why are they being discounted, again?
HWRF 946
HMON 954
A and B. 963 (on approach 955 and 956)

 

[Henry2326]

945 mb and 140 mph landfall.

That's Hwrf....I'm in.