Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

[PEA_RIDGE]

AH HUR HNTR TEAL72 HEADED IN FROM Biloxi MS.. SHOULD ARRIVE IN A BIT.. THEY ARE JUST NOW JUST SOUTH OF LA

 

[Henry2326]

00z HWRF won't let go of the more North landfall.
Crystal River, again.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

UNLESS MY EYES ARE TIRED IT HAS TAKEN A BIG NORTH TUG

THE 4 AM UPDATE HAS IT SE OF THE ISLAND TO THE LEFT OF CENTER

 

[Henry2326]

UNLESS MY EYES ARE TIRED IT HAS TAKEN A BIG NORTH TUG

THE 4 AM UPDATE HAS IT SE OF THE ISLAND TO THE LEFT OF CENTER
View attachment 152885

I won't be surprised.....the stronger storms tend to pull North and east. HWRF is on an island of itself at Crystal River for landfall, more north.

 

[Chattownsnow]

He appears to have shed the remaining part of the former eyewall and is ready to re-intensify based on IR imagery

 

[MichaelJ]

Pretty sure this will come inland just north of Tampa as a Cat 4 with 140mph winds as dry air will take some of the top off, still going to be a strong storm and Tampa will be hit hard. Let's see if the NHC agrees

 

[Belle Lechat]

UNLESS MY EYES ARE TIRED IT HAS TAKEN A BIG NORTH TUG

THE 4 AM UPDATE HAS IT SE OF THE ISLAND TO THE LEFT OF CENTER
View attachment 152885

Yes, it now has a N component.




You can see Isla Perez of the Alacranes lightly to the left of the center in the Recon map. They were in a weaker part of the eyewall, winds decreasing to the north and south of them as it passed over. It appears they didn't even get hurricane force wind gusts, as I showed previously.

Scorpion Reef - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Brent]

More and more I'm feeling this like this is the feared Tampa storm sadly

We can only hope it weakens a lot but it may not matter

 

[Belle Lechat]

HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA... ...RESIDENTS IN FLORIDA ARE URGED TO USE TODAY TO PREPARE FOR MILTON'S ARRIVAL AND EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...

7:00 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 Location: 22.5°N 88.8°W Moving: ENE at 12 mph Min pressure: 929 mb Max sustained: 145 mph

 

[Belle Lechat]

Lowest readings this pass

113330 2226N 08846W 6980 02517 9269 +207 +070 233026 035 026 000 00 pressure

114100 2223N 08838W 6951 02762 9542 +139 +090 205134 137 105 000 00 flight level

113100 2233N 08851W 6963 02649 9451 +138 +064 057070 078 135 031 00 surface

 

[Henry2326]

Pretty sure this will come inland just north of Tampa as a Cat 4 with 140mph winds as dry air will take some of the top off, still going to be a strong storm and Tampa will be hit hard. Let's see if the NHC agrees

HWRF and I agree. I quit counting Hwrf runs with this solution.
Jax gets hit hard too.