Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

[Belle Lechat]

 

[RBR71]

South of due east movement still, will be interesting to see how close to Yucatan it gets.

 

[Ross]

when i woke up they upgraded it to a 3 and by the time i finished my coffee it was a high end 4

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[Stormsfury]

35mb fall in just a little over 6 hours. You've got to be kidding me. Wilma comparisons are quite appropriate IMO.

 

[Belle Lechat]

125200 2145N 09159W 7533 01961 9390 +223 +151 150017 039 /// /// 03

 

[Henry2326]

View attachment 152759

Can you see landfall for th is version?
We have all hurricane models, GFS, and Euro for landfall Thursday.

 

[Brent]

This is what Wilma was like

 

[Henry2326]

South of due east movement still, will be interesting to see how close to Yucatan it gets.

Not very close. Not one model has it hitting land.

 

[jrips27]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Screenshot to show the disk, won't update.

 

[Henry2326]

This is what Wilma was like

"Wilma's rapid intensification led to a 24-hour pressure drop of 97 mbar (2.9 inHg), setting a new basin record."

 

[Henry2326]

Clearly the gulf is handing us unprecedented scenarios.....I expect that to continue.

 

[Arcc]

Clearly the gulf is handing us unprecedented scenarios.....I expect that to continue.

I disagree there, 2005 still takes to cake no doubt.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Brent]

I disagree there, 2005 still takes to cake no doubt.

Yeah 2005 was really something Katrina would end up being the 3rd strongest storm that year

Wilma was so shocking to the NHC they did another recon pass

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Brent]

 

[Arcc]

Yeah 2005 was really something Katrina would end up being the 3rd strongest storm that year

Wilma was so shocking to the NHC they did another recon pass

Yeah, it’s easy to forget Dennis’ run to high end Cat 4, Emily coming back to a strong Cat 3 not to mention Wilma’s resurgence.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Look at that pinhole. Good luck getting dry air inside that any time soon. Luckily there’s still time into midweek for Milton to change structure but for now this is what nightmares are made of

 

[Ross]

933ish

 

[Shaggy]

View attachment 152769
933ish

So roughly 22 mb in a couple hours

 

[SD]

It's probably going to max out now that it wrapped more convection around the N side and really got symmetrical

 

[severestorm]

I left the villages to Asheville. Can't keep these hurricanes away from me. All the ponds are drained and Publix is price gouging.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Can you see landfall for th is version?
We have all hurricane models, GFS, and Euro for landfall Thursday.

Thursday am

 

[Philstorm91]

This is a storm that is actually trying to live up to the 3k NAM model hype for pressure. It's the small storms that try to rev up into the red with favorable conditions.

 

[Belle Lechat]

So roughly 22 mb in a couple hours

38mb in 5 1/2 hours. Almost 7 an hour.

 

[Skippy The Brat]

So are we looking at roughly a CAT 3 hitting the Tampa area?

 

[Mahomeless]

So are we looking at roughly a CAT 3 hitting the Tampa area?

Cat4 to Cat5

 

[severestorm]

I remember seeing Wilma's damage. Concrete stripped from the rebar. Was stunned a hurricane can do that.

 

[Skippy The Brat]

Cat4 to Cat5

Thanks, I have not been able to follow much over the weekend.

 

[severestorm]

Cat4 to Cat5

This is what I'm thinking also. The erc will only expand the wind field when that happens.

 

[Arcc]

It's probably going to max out now that it wrapped more convection around the N side and really got symmetrical

Definitely has a shot to crack that stubborn 910mb 18 year old barrier. I think it was Dean was the last to do it.

 

[Alva1438]

Cat4 to Cat5

Don’t we mean Sarasota/Bradenton? Did something change from NHC?

 

[Belle Lechat]

Barely a southern component finally.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Tampa Bay international airport to suspend all air travel beginning 9am tomorrow. Also getting reports of no gas in Tampa. The time to leave is probably now

 

[jrips27]

 

[Henry2326]

12z.....