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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

Odd it’s moving so fast it was going around 9mph this would have been a CAT5 easily.
 
snowlover91 said:
Looks like it’s still strengthening to me. Structure continuing to improve and the eye is contracting some it appears. Pressure is likely in the 940s.
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Could be, but I see no really big surprises right now. Now that could definitely change as we head toward evening.
 
This might be a silly question, because I am not even sure if they could be seen distinctly like they are on satellite, but If anyone in Mississippi, Georgia or Florida under the outflow, would be interested in seeing a picture.

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SD said:
Might be wrong here but I am not seeing that much of a sign of shear. Cirrus canopy is still expanding to the west and SW of the system instead of stacking up like you would typically see as a system is approaching shear or shear is approaching
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If anything, the shear expected could actually FAVOR further intensification since initially if it does start to impact Laura, it will likely enhance the poleward outflow channel initially.

2 things I don't foresee happening.
Not likely to see an ERC...
Not likely to see shear disruption before its too late...

The only thing I can foresee halting the intensifying process right now is shallow shelf waters...
 
Arcc said:
Could be, but I see no really big surprises right now. Now that could definitely change as we head toward evening.
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HWRF has it forecasted at 945 at 6:00 this afternoon, HMON at 944, NAM at 941. Let's see if it outruns the forecast.
HWRF AND HMON get no lower after that point....

Considering that it's already at 952, I'm going to guess, yes it will outrun it.
 
Henry2326 said:
HWRF has it forecasted at 945 at 6:00 this afternoon, HMON at 944, NAM at 941. Let's see if it outruns the forecast.
HWRF AND HMON get no lower after that point....

Considering that it's already at 952, I'm going to guess, yes it will outrun it.
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If it grabs that extra gear let’s say around 5-6pm, it may make a run at Cat 5.
 
Question. I don’t remember, but isn’t a smaller eye indicative of a more powerful TC? Rather if it has a large eye and starts to close in (eye gets smaller) isn’t that indicative of a deepening TC?
 
I know it being classified as an official Cat 4 or Cat 5 for history and record books matter but for those in path of this storm. 5-10 mph is not going to matter to them as we all know. High end Cat 4 is going to leave Cat 5 damage. Not picking on anyone at all just saying it’s going to suck for many.
 
Matthew70 said:
I know it being classified as an official Cat 4 or Cat 5 for history and record books matter but for those in path of this storm. 5-10 mph is not going to matter to them as we all know. High end Cat 4 is going to leave Cat 5 damage. Not picking on anyone at all just saying it’s going to suck for many.
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Yup....2 words......LEAVE NOW!!
 
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