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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Long week and a half coming up. Timing of the trough pulling out of the region and how far NW the ridge expands are the keys across the region.
Brent
Member
It's gonna be a long week and a half
Henry2326
Member
This map says it all....here we go again
EPS through 240 :
Might be longer than that. We will be extremely lucky to get through the next 2 weeks without a US hit. I guess we can hope that any systems remain on the weak side. Things have been a mess out there so far this season...maybe that trend will continue. But I'm going with a 75% chance of a major making US landfall over the next 3 weeks...maybe multiple. Favoring the Gulf right now.
Brent
Member
Need a lot of cold fronts, to help kick everything East, it’s that time of year we are getting them now to help save us. I worry about the gulf tho, anything in western Caribbean will explode and have no way out
Shaggy
Member
Similar to Irma track wise. It's an eternity away and the modeling will change constantly.
Henry2326
Member
12z CMC.....98L takes the energy.....although both in the gulf...
Henry2326
Member
UK 12z....8/23...following Euro and Icon
BHS1975
Member
Brent
Member
Laura?
Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located
about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become
better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features
near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a
couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located
about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become
better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features
near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a
couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
$$
GeorgiaGirl
Member
98L has already had that look that it might be big, hopefully not or if it happens it's OTS.
18Z GEFS.
Mean builds heights over 98L forcing it West.
Mean builds heights over 98L forcing it West.
Jon
Member
Nice video by Levi about 98L
Thinking this is going to get better understood in the next 48 hours, once an area of known defined circulation forms and especially when a storm is formed.
Right now, models have no clue.
Thinking this is going to get better understood in the next 48 hours, once an area of known defined circulation forms and especially when a storm is formed.
Right now, models have no clue.
Shaggy
Member
