Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[SoutheastRidge]

Irma looks to be NE of the Euro's initialized position so I'm not sure it'll go that far west.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Can someone post the latest euro model?

 

[deltadog03]

Atlanta takes on much stronger winds this run

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oh dang! thats like 75-85kt winds around here. so 85-95mph winds

 

[GaWx]

Irma looks to be NE of the Euro's initialized position so I'm not sure it'll go that far west.

Yep, this is a good point

 

[tennessee storm]

no joke this is board wide hit!! **IF** this run is right. Yes, less extreme for NC, but there is going to be wind and rain for sure. SC, GA and even AL get nailed with this one.
It even says hello.......person un-named.....how about some weather from me, Irma..lol[/QUOTE

Atlanta takes on much stronger winds this run

oh dang! thats like 75-85kt winds around here. so 85-95mph winds

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so the west trend continues ever so slightly

 

[ForsythSnow]

oh dang! thats like 75-85kt winds around here. so 85-95mph winds

About the same as 0z. I saw a Mac of nearly 100 mph in central to north ga then. Still looks bad. Finished trimming the vulnerable trees, so we should be fine here

 

[EastAtlwx]

Atlanta takes on much stronger winds this run
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Actually, the winds are slightly weaker this run..... doesnt really matter.. Euro hasnt lost its notion of severe winds in North Georgia

 

[Shawn]

AT PAGE 200 (or after Euro), PLEASE LOCK AND START AN IRMA PART 2 THREAD!!! I would, but a bit busy right now.

 

[ForsythSnow]

AT PAGE 200 (or after Euro), PLEASE LOCK AND START AN IRMA PART 2 THREAD!!! I would, but a bit busy right now.

Will do.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wow, if it goes further West before turning north it's going to stay over water longer and take longer to get on land, which is going to make it worse further inland for GA.

 

[Jackstraw]

If a track like this verifies I would think with up sloping in far western NC Mnts there are going to be some pockets of very heavy rain.

 

[pcbjr]

FWIW - NWS Jax - Good write-up ...

http://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

 

[Storm5]

The inland track to the NW is pretty much a lock regardless of the Florida track is 50 or 75 miles east

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[GaWx]

I think that a track a bit to the right of the 12Z Euro in FL needs to considered being that the hour 6 position (2 PM), which is overland in Cuba, is clearly south of reality, which is just N of Cuba.

 

[deltadog03]

The inland track to the NW is pretty much a lock regardless of the Florida track is 50 or 75 miles east

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Agreed

 

[deltadog03]

I think that a track a bit to the right of the 12Z Euro in FL needs to considered being that the hour 6 position (2 PM), which is overland in Cuba, is clearly south of reality, which is just N of Cuba.

Agreee Larry is run is likely a bit too far west. But maybe not. It may just keep chugging WWWWNWW for awhile longer and catch back up.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

The inland N/NW track does appear locked in but if it turns 50 miles further east. That's a big difference for many.

 

[accu35]

Agreee Larry is run is likely a bit too far west. But maybe not. It may just keep chugging WWWWNWW for awhile longer and catch back up.

Yeah, i image wobbles will happen up till landfall

 

[Arcc]

She is cranking up nicely ATM.

 

[deltadog03]

about to do a FB live video if you all want to come by and say hello
https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/