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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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A family member decided to fly into FL and is going to ride it out. His house is supposedly 20 ft above sea level. I think he is foolish.
 
deltadog03 said:
That would be good, but maybe I’m stubborn. LOL, I am. LOL I think it’ll be pretty close to a minimal hurricanes at that point. yes, it’s going to weekend. But pressures are very low, even well inland. And the models have pretty high sustained winds at certainly higher gusts
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Yep, it's been a Cat 5 so it has a nasty mean core that will be evident all the way up. Not looking foward to having this thing go right over head. I worry about people taking shelter at the RaceWay up the road, because Cindy caused 40 mil worth of damage there in 05. Hope they let them in the buildings. Campers and trailers are not the place to be. Hampton has a way of attracting tornadoes. T
 
tractor girl said:
So would that mean Irma would potentially remain cat 4/5 till landfall in FL/AL, then weaken down from there? This seems worst case scenario for B'ham and Atlanta.
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I think the further west it goes the more likely it is to interact with Cuba which would mean it would weaken more but I could be wrong. I don't think any of the models show Irma going over the Gulf and making landfall in the panhandle as a Cat 4/5 ?
 
Even if Irma is "only" a TS when it reaches a location inland does not mean there can't be serious issues, remember further away from coast generally means more trees, taller trees more susceptible to wind damage and you will most likely experience those winds well in advance of the center passage. 8-12 hours of constant TS force can down numerous trees which obviously is problematic
 
Keep in mind the NAM just two runs ago ran Irma to the NC east coast . I dont believe anything it spits out at this point

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metwannabe said:
Even if Irma is "only" a TS when it reaches a location inland does not mean there can't be serious issues, remember further away from coast generally means more trees, taller trees more susceptible to wind damage and you will most likely experience those winds well in advance of the center passage. 8-12 hours of constant TS force can down numerous trees which obviously is problematic
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I fully agree, that’s why I was surprised when span said his comments this morning but whatever it’s span
 
Storm5 said:
I still need a sound reason for our question . Where is Webber when you need him

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I mean when you look at this map it appears Irma should be rounding the base of the ridge and feeling that weakness.... obviously that's not happening so obviously I've still got a lot to learn

namconus_z500a_us_9.png
 
metwannabe said:
I mean when you look at this map it appears Irma should be rounding the base of the ridge and feeling that weakness.... obviously that's not happening so obviously I've still got a lot to learn

namconus_z500a_us_9.png
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Join the club . Maybe the trough is further north and already a little too fast east??

Does not look like it

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