Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[$alt]

btw, JMA had shifted West over FL and into GA today too.

 

[Jackstraw]

Interesting Fujiwhara effect with Irma and the upper level low on most of the models causing it to turn west and loop.

I was just going to introduce the word "stall" beyond 96 hours lol

 

[gawxnative]

Is there still a live show tonight... Didn t scroll through all 14 pages that loaded when at work..lol

 

[VegasEagle]

Is the show on tonight with JB?

 

[Metwannabe]

Is there still a live show tonight... Didn t scroll through all 14 pages that loaded when at work..lol

No live show tonight, JB was a little busy.... hopefully this weekend. Keep checking the southernwx show thread for updates. Sorry!

 

[VegasEagle]

No live show tonight, JB was a little busy.... hopefully this weekend. Keep checking the southernwx show thread for updates. Sorry!

Thank you!

 

[gawxnative]

Well with evac of Savannah Metro set for Sat AM. and no rooms in metro ATL, where are they to go?? GFS Paints 70-80 kts at 925 mb for me

 

[skywatcher]

Well with evac of Savannah Metro set for Sat AM. and no rooms in metro ATL, where are they to go?? GFS Paints 70-80 kts at 925 mb for me

West. FL panhandle or AL gulf coast are good options.

 

[Snow_chaser]

No live show tonight, JB was a little busy.... hopefully this weekend. Keep checking the southernwx show thread for updates. Sorry!

He passing on Southernwx for Sean Hannity? lol what's he thinking.

 

[metfascination]

Well with evac of Savannah Metro set for Sat AM. and no rooms in metro ATL, where are they to go?? GFS Paints 70-80 kts at 925 mb for me

Last year we went to visit my stepdaughter in Oxford, AL. The hotels in that area were full of Florida evacuees.


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[whatalife]

btw, JMA had shifted West over FL and into GA today too.

I'm going to call this the JHS steering affect.


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[Metwannabe]

Looks like recon headed for the NE quadrant, pressures seem to be holding steady see what they find....

 

[stormcentral]

Sadly things are looking more and more worse and concerning. We could have the worse hurricane in years slap the shores.

 

[malak05]

Saw this that is was pretty interesting and concerning as we expected

 

[Tarheel1]

I'm going to call this the JHS steering affect.


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Or the SD rain hole theory!

 

[gawxnative]

And with the latest forecast track.. It puts most/all Metro ATL to the right so increased tornado threat. GFS also paints with 4-6 " form Irma

 

[dpbutler1]

0Z hurricane models

 

[SoutheastRidge]

And with the latest forecast track.. It puts most/all Metro ATL to the right so increased tornado threat. GFS also paints with 4-6 " form Irma

Where are you seeing that ? I haven't seen many tracks west of Atlanta

 

[WeatherLC]

Where are you seeing that ? I haven't seen many tracks west of Atlanta

The 18z gfs did I think

 

[Jackstraw]

So do you think it could move further east in FL or a Western FL track?

I'll just say right now I'm leaning west. I have been for over a week when I got lambasted on the zoo board for mentionig the east biased that silicon has for strong hurricanes running under a strengthening BOR(Big Ol' Ridge). I just need more consistency in the upper level output of the models over the conus and I'm not seeing it just yest. Regardless, Fl is very much in the crosshairs AT THIS TIME, emphasis on right now.