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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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WeatherWatch said:
Power outage prediction map
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Based on Matthew, outages could easily be far higher than the 20-40% predicted for the GA coast. I'd think 90%+, unfortunately.
 
I imagine our area could see inland tropical storm warnings for the first time since I don't know when if these models happened.
 
BHS1975 said:
Why does it keep bringing it into Cuba with the big gap in the ridge?


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None of the models are handling the SW thats forecast to come down very well. As the current trof weakens and tilts the ridge is slowly building west again. There are features in the cari the models aren't handling well imparting western influence. I seriously wouldnt trust any run beond 72 hours right now. Perhaps by 00Z we'll see something more definitive.
 
This run is great news for Georgia and South Carolina and horrible for Florida taken verbatim

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Shawn said:
UKMET + Euro vs everything else? I can't choose!
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I think that the significance of this 12Z Euro is that is consistent with the westward adjustment of every other 12Z model. We've seen this song and dance before but this MAY once again be signaling more westerly track changes changes ahead. Keep in mind that early Sep. climo says that the vast majority of TCs moving WNW near the N coast of Cuba do not turn sharply northward...just something to keep in mind as it based on looking at 165 years of history.
 
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Dang euro west and still easy 3 days to go for changes
 
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