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Tropical Major Hurricane Iota

SD said:
As long as we keep protecting the Caribbean with this ridging across the gulf it's going to keep printing out systems.
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Yeah this late season ridging is very unusual even for a La Nina.


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It sitting over bathwater now. RI incoming.

5f768e2498888dded6f089088a2a614d.jpg



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We’re still looking at October like SSTs for the Western Atlantic.

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Does anyone want it to turn north and into hickory nc area
 
Wilkes disaster response teams (Samaritans purse) is already in Central America. Looks like they will evacuate if Iota becomes a major. “I” storm over the warmest waters we have...into saturated soils...what could go wrong...
 
Iota likely official at 4pm another record storm for the year

AL, 31, 2020111318, , BEST, 0, 139N, 742W, 35, 1006, TS


This thing is gonna be a monster at this rate9e07d09f-bb22-4aea-a2fd-8e3eb70dc0ab.jpeg
 
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12Z UKMET: landfall far N Nicaragua; then moves WNW into NE Honduras and then to just N of Honduras, where it subsequently nearly stalls the last 12 hours:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 74.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 13.11.2020 0 13.9N 74.3W 1009 24
0000UTC 14.11.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.2N 77.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 15.11.2020 36 12.7N 77.6W 1004 31
1200UTC 15.11.2020 48 13.2N 78.8W 1001 38
0000UTC 16.11.2020 60 13.3N 80.9W 996 39
1200UTC 16.11.2020 72 13.6N 82.3W 990 50
0000UTC 17.11.2020 84 14.5N 83.4W 987 50
1200UTC 17.11.2020 96 15.3N 84.8W 994 40
0000UTC 18.11.2020 108 16.2N 86.3W 995 44
1200UTC 18.11.2020 120 16.1N 87.0W 995 41
0000UTC 19.11.2020 132 15.9N 86.9W 1003 35
1200UTC 19.11.2020 144 CEASED TRACKING
 
I’m betting Iota is deadliest storm of the season based on what I see. CAT 4 landfall prediction
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Wilkes disaster response teams (Samaritans purse) is already in Central America. Looks like they will evacuate if Iota becomes a major. “I” storm over the warmest waters we have...into saturated soils...what could go wrong...
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I do! Shetleys backyard is still 20” below normal for the year
 
Boy if it ticks north and avoids land until the extreme western Caribbean of Central American we could see CAT 5..
 
NHC very high on ri probability. this one could set records for how fast and late in the season
 
ForsythSnow said:
This went from pathetic this morning to really impressive tonight. Recon headed back in so I expect an upgrade to a hurricane.
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Remaining "pathetic" would have been a much better thing because look at what most of Honduras, NE Nicaragua, N Guatemala, S Belize, and SE MX are facing less than 2 weeks after Eta left the scene. As bad as Eta was (worst since Mitch with even higher rivers than Mitch in at least NW Honduras due to already very wet soils), getting another that soon is hard to fathom and could very well place 2020 in unchartered territory for flooding in some of those areas, especially N Honduras, NE Nicaragua, and C Guatemala. I fear the worst coming out of this..so prayers that the vulnerable can get to safety are recommended:

e8fnRqm.png
 
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Wow

No good news for Central America tonight

Also the landfall is really close to where Eta hit now6535c073-2eeb-42f9-b9fd-96aa6ba4d4cd.jpeg


...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS STRENGTHENED INTO THE
THIRTEENTH HURRICANE OF THE 2020 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...
...IOTA EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE AS
APPROACHES CENTRAL AMERICA....


SUMMARY OF 100 AM EST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 77.0W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM E OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES
 
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Brent said:
Wow

No good news for Central America tonight

Also the landfall is really close to where Eta hit nowView attachment 52317


...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS STRENGTHENED INTO THE
THIRTEENTH HURRICANE OF THE 2020 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...
...IOTA EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE AS
APPROACHES CENTRAL AMERICA....


SUMMARY OF 100 AM EST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 77.0W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM E OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES
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Here we go again.
 
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