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Tropical Major Hurricane Iota

Down to 10s of miles from what I can tell. Essentially looks just slightly north of the last landfall. High chance the same areas will be hit again. In addition the nhc expects further intensification up to landfall. Expecting 165.

165 not happening due to ERC


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Nah it’s definitely an EWRC. Signs of it all day like RH increasing in the eye and a double wind maxima showing up on recon passes too.
View attachment 52403
Looking at the chart alone isn't telling. Look at recon's path and it'll become more and more evident. In addition they're close to the coast so recon data becomes skewed slightly and wind interaction with land will also weaken the storm. Pressure is steady too. ERC's up the pressure slowly but noticeably, not 1 or 2 mbs. With a storm this strong an ERC would mean the pressure would be in the 930s.
 
Looking at the chart alone isn't telling. Look at recon's path and it'll become more and more evident. In addition they're close to the coast so recon data becomes skewed slightly and wind interaction with land will also weaken the storm. Pressure is steady too. ERC's up the pressure slowly but noticeably, not 1 or 2 mbs. With a storm this strong an ERC would mean the pressure would be in the 930s.

There are multiple indicators for an EWRC. One of the early signs documented is rising RH in the eye which recon has confirmed throughout the day. The double wind max evident at flight level is another early sign of it and decreasing winds also point to it even though pressure has remained steady. Mets on Twitter have also mentioned an EWRC is ongoing including our own @Webberweather53. It looks to me like this went through a very efficient EWRC (merger) rather than the really delayed and drawn out ones we are used to seeing or ran possibly ran into land before it could finish, it’s tough to tell since we don’t have radar to go by.





 
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There are multiple indicators for an EWRC. One of the early signs documented is rising RH in the eye which recon has confirmed throughout the day. The double wind max evident at flight level is another early sign of it and decreasing winds also point to it even though pressure has remained steady. Mets on Twitter have also mentioned an EWRC is ongoing including our own @Webberweather53. It looks to me like this went through a very efficient EWRC (merger) rather than the really delayed and drawn out ones we are used to seeing or ran possibly ran into land before it could finish, it’s tough to tell since we don’t have radar to go by.






Seems to be a lot different of an ERC than what we normally see then.
 
Crazy

Category 4 Hurricane Iota, with sustained winds near 155 mph (250
km/h), made landfall along the northeastern coast of Nicaragua near
the town of Haulover, or about 30 miles (45 km) south of Puerto
Cabezas, at 1040 PM EST...0340 UTC...this Monday evening.

Hurricane Iota's landfall location is approximately 15 miles (25
km) south of where Category 4 Hurricane Eta made landfall earlier
this month on November 3rd.
 
Odd Louisiana and Nicaragua both having landfalls so close together. It’s like the pattern is stale and not changing.
 
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