Wouldn’t be surprised if a large earthquake strikes given the size of this monster. Plus it’s 2020.
Down to 10s of miles from what I can tell. Essentially looks just slightly north of the last landfall. High chance the same areas will be hit again. In addition the nhc expects further intensification up to landfall. Expecting 165.
ERC never happened. It's all land interaction. That eye is super stable.165 not happening due to ERC
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Looking at the chart alone isn't telling. Look at recon's path and it'll become more and more evident. In addition they're close to the coast so recon data becomes skewed slightly and wind interaction with land will also weaken the storm. Pressure is steady too. ERC's up the pressure slowly but noticeably, not 1 or 2 mbs. With a storm this strong an ERC would mean the pressure would be in the 930s.Nah it’s definitely an EWRC. Signs of it all day like RH increasing in the eye and a double wind maxima showing up on recon passes too.
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Looking at the chart alone isn't telling. Look at recon's path and it'll become more and more evident. In addition they're close to the coast so recon data becomes skewed slightly and wind interaction with land will also weaken the storm. Pressure is steady too. ERC's up the pressure slowly but noticeably, not 1 or 2 mbs. With a storm this strong an ERC would mean the pressure would be in the 930s.
There are multiple indicators for an EWRC. One of the early signs documented is rising RH in the eye which recon has confirmed throughout the day. The double wind max evident at flight level is another early sign of it and decreasing winds also point to it even though pressure has remained steady. Mets on Twitter have also mentioned an EWRC is ongoing including our own @Webberweather53. It looks to me like this went through a very efficient EWRC (merger) rather than the really delayed and drawn out ones we are used to seeing or ran possibly ran into land before it could finish, it’s tough to tell since we don’t have radar to go by.