On
On the other hand, waiting until the final hours before landfall likely means an EWRC is less likely.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
JimRussell
Member
959 mb, 110 mph
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.4N 85.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.4N 85.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
rburrel2
Member
I find it odd that the nhc cone of uncertainty doesn't include Toccoa, GA and every global model and all the hi-res models have the center passing through that area. What gives?
Like I get that they're gambling on a track west of Atlanta. But why not at least include atlanta/east in the cone? They're getting too cute with how tight they've made it if you ask me.
Like I get that they're gambling on a track west of Atlanta. But why not at least include atlanta/east in the cone? They're getting too cute with how tight they've made it if you ask me.
Power outages starting to go up pretty steadily now.
Here’s the site I use in case anyone wants to look too
poweroutage.us
Here’s the site I use in case anyone wants to look too
United States Power Outage Map
PowerOutage.us tracks, records, and aggregates power outages across the United States.
poweroutage.us
NCHighCountryWX
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 456
- Reaction score
- 1,276
Greg Fishel Update
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
We keep getting bursts of moderate to heavy rainfall every 30 minutes or so. Doesn’t really last long though.
tractor girl
Member
CAT 2
LithiaWx
Member
Until next advisory. 111 = cat 3
Really not crazy to think she gets to 130mph breaking cat 4 barrier.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
2.50” so far.
Again for central NC, severe threat tomorrow with spin-ups is good bet
Watching the local office sit there and have to point out the NHC track being much further over to the West is fun for me to watch. I wonder what's going on in the FFC office right now, tbh.
jaymackd3
Member
whoa boy
tractor girl
Member
Two warned tornadoes in south/mid Georgia. Neither looks to be on the ground.
Yep getting it together
Indeed, the UKMET keeps getting stronger as is common since it almost always is too weak in early runs. Track is similar.
12Z:
HURRICANE HELENE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N 85.8W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092024
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.09.2024 0 24.7N 85.8W 966 59
0000UTC 27.09.2024 12 28.6N 84.2W 960 74
1200UTC 27.09.2024 24 34.5N 83.2W 976 40
0000UTC 28.09.2024 36 37.9N 86.9W 984 30
1200UTC 28.09.2024 48 37.5N 87.0W 994 23
0000UTC 29.09.2024 60 37.6N 87.2W 1001 24
1200UTC 29.09.2024 72 37.6N 87.1W 1005 22
0000UTC 30.09.2024 84 37.2N 87.2W 1009 21
1200UTC 30.09.2024 96 37.4N 87.9W 1011 14
0000UTC 01.10.2024 108 CEASED TRACKING
If it gets up to a high end 3 or into 4 territory, those could be correct.
