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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

@GaWx , do you have the lat lons from the 12z UKMET? I don't have inbetween frames but it looks pretty similar to it's last run. A bit stronger
 
DopplerWx said:
Eye now surrounded by very cold cloud tops
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Appears due north for quite a few frames....and with the blow up of convection on the SE side of the COC, maybe even a little NNW component to it in the last couple of frames. Any westward component would only be wobbles though, as the general motion is going to be north or somewhat northeast with the steering currents.
 
weatherfide said:
That gap of no convection is not the eye. The COC is to the NW under cloud cover. That gap is likely more dry air being pulled in to the COC.
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Correct....however I think that dry air will wrap up, get spit out, and essentially become the mechanism for the eye to form as that process occurs.
 
Be careful with the intensification not being elevated at this point. This is going over warm water in a relatively low shear area and it has plenty of time to explode before reaching Fl. The one saving grace as it approaches Fl is the relatively shallow water it will enter just before landfall. I have seen many storms lose intensity in the gulf as it encounters shallower waters
 
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