Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[BufordWX]

Storm north of Gainesville is rotating.

 

[Triplephase93]

Put under a high wind watch in Chattanooga Tn. Says gust up to 50 possible with 70 MPH on the mountains.

 

[vtrap90]

Southeast of Atlanta.

 

[South AL Wx]

Wind gust potential map from FFC:

 

[Triplephase93]

 

[weatherfide]

Wind gust potential map from FFC:

View attachment 151816

If those easterly tracks materialize, that 60+ area needs to be extended to the east a good bit.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

If those easterly tracks materialize, that 60+ area needs to be extended to the east a good bit.

They just updated this like 30 minutes ago so I'm sure they took into consideration all of the newer models as well.

 

[Metwannabe]

Trying to build that inner core, as soon as it coughs out the last of the dry air should be show time.

 

[jrips27]

For posterity’s sake

 

[weatherfide]

They just updated this like 30 minutes ago so I'm sure they took into consideration all of the newer models as well.

Ok, but the Euro, a very good model, shows gusts of 76 mph in Augusta, 73 in Statesboro, and even 68 in Columbia, SC. It wouldn't hurt to give them a heads up that it's possible.

 

[Nerman]

 

[tractor girl]

12z hurricane models shifted east a little.
Couple of them were slower by 3 hours for landfall. Images near landfall and in NE GA ...

HAFS-B
HWRF
HAFS-A
HMON

View attachment 151805View attachment 151806View attachment 151807View attachment 151808


View attachment 151803View attachment 151809View attachment 151810View attachment 151804

I'm a little concerned about risk of spin-up tornadoes in my area.

 

[jrips27]

Several mentions to 2009 flooding in this video

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Several mentions to 2009 flooding in this video

And the 2009 flooding happened in Late September also.

 

[GaWx]

12Z EPS: mean track Gwinnett County, just E of Atlanta. More members just E of ATL vs right over or just W but a decent number are just W. So, a just W of ATL track still a reasonable possibility per 12Z EPS. Many members in high 970s to low 980s when closest to ATL.

Corrected

 

[jrips27]

 

[DustinWx]

Stop arguing about the pandemic and talk about the storm. Thanks

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Stop arguing about the pandemic and talk about the storm. Thanks

Are you still going to chase this storm in Florida ?

 

[Snowfan]

AL, 09, 2024092518, , BEST, 0, 220N, 864W, 75, 978, HU Up to 85 mph.

 

[DustinWx]

Are you still going to chase this storm in Florida ?

Yes. Preparing to leave now. Will drive down towards Perry florida.