Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[weather bubba]

That band on the east

That's the one I'm watching where I live. In about thirty minutes my residence will start feeling the effects from that. It's time to batten down the hatches.

 

[jrips27]

The effects were well predicted by the NHC and various NWS offices. People are paying too much attention to where the center of circulation is far inland.

lol no shot. The NHC wind graphics had Atlanta at a 90-100% chance to see sustained 1-minute tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph.

The airport GUSTED to 43mph only once.

 

[Metwannabe]

That's the one I'm watching where I live. In about thirty minutes my residence will start feeling the effects from that. It's time to batten down the hatches.

HRRR has been all over that line since yesterday. It should have some good 40-50 mph gust in there for you

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

If anything, the first forecast track issued when the system was a PTC was more accurate than a lot of the subsequent forecast tracks:

View attachment 152174

I don’t get how you can be more accurate 4 days in advance than you are 4 hours in advance.

 

[Metwannabe]

Safe to say the forecast track is questionable and warrants discussion but can we hold off on the debate until this system is over for everyone or at least take it to banter please, thanks

 

[Carolina Sky]

Tornado warning for Chatham and Orange County.

 

[BHS1975]

Thank goodness that squall line is not segmented like the HRRR was showing greatly reducing the tornado threat.


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[Henry2326]

If anything, the first forecast track issued when the system was a PTC was more accurate than a lot of the subsequent forecast tracks:

View attachment 152174

Yep, they had it under control until after this point. I can tell you that from now on, I'll trust the HWRF and HMON when it conflicts with NHC.

 

[Gibby]

Tornado warning for Chatham and Orange County.

I'm right in the middle of the path...

 

[Carolina Sky]

 

[Makeitsnow]

Augusta got their Hugo/Matthew style storm. Crazy damage for this far inland

 

[Sctvman]

 

[BHS1975]

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[SD]

Thank goodness that squall line is not segmented like the HRRR was showing greatly reducing the tornado threat.


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It's coming once it loses a little forcing

 

[Belle Lechat]

I don’t get how you can be more accurate 4 days in advance than you are 4 hours in advance.

The center was already outside the cone they posted at 5 am.

 

[Carolina Sky]

Another tornado warning for rotation south of 64 at Jordan Lake.

 

[Metwannabe]

Thank goodness that squall line is not segmented like the HRRR was showing greatly reducing the tornado threat.


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Looks like it's gonna try to do that though as it moves east

 

[SuperNET]

SEPT. 27, 2024 - Swift water rescues underway in the Biltmore Village area of Asheville.

Swannanoa River at Biltmore, NC - 03451000​

September 20, 2024 - September 27, 2024
Gage height, feet
18.24 ft - Sep 27, 2024 08:45:00 AM EDT < --- possible a new record

Swannanoa River at Biltmore, NC - 03451000​

September 20, 2024 - September 27, 2024
Gage height, feet
22.08 ft - Sep 27, 2024 10:30:00 AM EDT < --- -almost 4' higher since last report. I have to believe that Biltmore Village and Biltmore Forest are under water at this time. New Record -

 

[SD]

I don't like that area north of Fayetteville

 

[Metwannabe]

It's coming once it loses a little forcing

Already happening, look at the hooks trying to get going on that line.... goodness