Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[Shaggy]

Based on the last recon center fix and the radar am I wrong in thinking this had a hard east jog as it felt the land interaction?

 

[Brent]

I will say one thing... This is about the most unpopulated area it could hit possible

 

[Downeastnc]

Perry been ground zero several times the last few seasons.....

 

[SnowwxAtl]

NHC did another major shift on the east side of ATL

It really don't mean much!

 

[lj0109]

Based on the last recon center fix and the radar am I wrong in thinking this had a hard east jog as it felt the land interaction?

I think that is very plausible that it had a brief tug as a result of that. Really going to be interesting over the next few hours to watch just how fast the turn occurs with its current size/forward speed...should start soon

 

[Shaggy]

I think that is very plausible that it had a brief tug as a result of that. Really going to be interesting over the next few hours to watch just how fast the turn occurs with its current size/forward speed...

Not wishcasting here because im in wilmington but the eastern track so far is more in line with gfs and icon. If this makes it into western SC or NC that changes the weather for Atlanta and RDU in big ways

 

[Belle Lechat]

021400 2935N 08356W 6975 02637 9372 +211 +123 225023 027 022 001 00

Almost an hour ago 937.2 mb.

 

[Shaggy]

021400 2935N 08356W 6975 02637 9372 +211 +123 225023 027 022 001 00

Almost an hour ago 937.2 mb.

Crazy that the perry livestreaams are not showing cat 4 conditions or even high end cat 3

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yikes.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Downeastnc]

Crazy that the perry livestreaams are not showing cat 4 conditions or even high end cat 3

Flight level versus surface....you remember Isabel here right.....we had radar velocities of 120 right above us in the SW eyewall but at the surface we never got above 55...Helene also never really consolidated a core, she had a open eye pretty much the whole time....still there are places in the eye getting some pretty nasty stuff, certainly havent seen nothing even close to 125-140 though.

 

[RoddyPiper]

So far it’s an underachiever on land in Perry which was ground zero.

 

[itryatmanysportsespgolf70]

Guys, think about this. CMC nailed this one from 240 hrs out in a very close proximity to where it's hitting currently.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Downeastnc]

Last ob from Perry Airport was gusting to 76....but that was 45 mins ago right as they were getting into the inner eyewall so maybe they got some gust to 100ish

 

[Shawn]

Isn't this this supposed to be hooking West now?

 

[Triplephase93]

So far it’s an underachiever on land in Perry which was ground zero.

Hitting some rural areas but cantore said the highest gust he has seen is 84mph.

 

[Brent]

Based on NWS Doppler radar data, the eye of Helene has made landfall
as a Category 4 hurricane in the Florida Big Bend region at about
11:10 PM EDT (0310 UTC) just east of the mouth of the Aucilla
River. This is about 10 miles (15 km) west-southwest of Perry,
Florida. Based on data from Air Force reconnaissance aircraft, the
maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 140 mph (225 km/h) and
the minimum central pressure is 938 mb (27.70 inches).

 

[Storm5]

Man reeds stream was awesome

 

[Henry2326]

Isn't this this supposed to be hooking West now?

Looks like an HMON path, which is north, not west.
By the way HMON forecasted 939 pressure and it came in at 938.