-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Satellite doesn't suggest that. Definitely more than an open wave, and the shear is plenty favorable for it to maintain, or even strengthen itself.
No it isnt, the actual LLC is well to the east of the strong convection which looks to be mainly riding on the old wave axis. Harvey is very disorganized at this point. You add in the northerly shear and the fast flow and really the best case for the storm is to maintain a consistent low level circulation.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Although a recent ASCAT pass still showed 35 knot winds in the northern semi circle of Harvey's circulation it appears to opening up into a tropical wave axis as the surface wind field and convection appears to be becoming much broader and meridionally elongated...
#RIPHarvey lol
Brent
Member
recon found a center somehow
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah somehow this still has a center but it's very weak, fragile, and unstable, and appears to be in the process of being consumed by the larger scale wave axis as indicated by the southerly winds within half of a degree of it...
But this system may be a depression now.
Im curious to see what a weaker slower system might do
Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
I'm just about sure the death bell for Harvey is about to dong. If they keep it a tropical storm, it may be the worst organized one I've ever seen.
It's a tropical depression now.
Brent
Member
No way this thing survives much longer in its current state
really starting to wonder if it even comes back down the road
really starting to wonder if it even comes back down the road
Last edited:
Brent
Member
...HARVEY DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system unless regeneration occurs or if tropical
cyclone watches or warnings are required for land areas.
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system unless regeneration occurs or if tropical
cyclone watches or warnings are required for land areas.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
He's dead.
Hold on a minute. Ex-Harvey may regenerate if it reemerges into the BOC.
Brent
Member
Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in
association with the remnants of Harvey. Gradual development of
this system is possible, and it could become a tropical cyclone
once again as it moves west-northwestward across the central and
northwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days.
Interests in northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan
peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
disturbance later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
association with the remnants of Harvey. Gradual development of
this system is possible, and it could become a tropical cyclone
once again as it moves west-northwestward across the central and
northwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days.
Interests in northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan
peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
disturbance later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
I haven’t looked but so the global sod anything with this again? For the _____ time.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looking a bit better convective wise, but still horribly offcentered. I think it still has a chance of being a storm, but it would be like Franklin if anything at this point.
Looks like guidance is more west, even SW today! So much for my drought buster! 
