Models are enthusiastic about this one
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Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah this wave has a lot of convection and should have no issue sustaining it as a strong CCKW passes over it and there's little-no SAL...
Storm5
Member
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Storm5
Member
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
GFS is quite insane for this one now.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
At least the Euro is on board with development of 91L by the time it passes the Antilles, and there's another TC hot on its heels (in compliance w/ EPS)
Storm5
Member
GFS is quite insane for this one now.
One day the gfs will be right .... I swear I feel like I've seen that frame 10 times already this summer
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yep, I would not like to see it, but the GFS says nope, have it again. This one could go anywhere.
Not true. The only way I get rain is ULLs and hurricanes between matthew hermine and 2 ulls i got 25 inches of rain.
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accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Wow, things about to get fired up. Charlie's right, gfs will end up being right one day and i have this little feeling that gfs could be right. Not wish casting. We are about to reach our peak season. Just be alert and aware and ready.
pcbjr
Member
As time goes on, a link for a plethora of data:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=AL912017
For some model comparisons:
https://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tcgen/
and:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
and a couple current images:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=AL912017
For some model comparisons:
https://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tcgen/
and:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
and a couple current images:
Last edited:
I have a feeling the XTRP model will absolutely nail this over the next five days.
All hail the XTRP model.
Brent
Member
this could be really interesting
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looking at the 500 levels, I think this storm is going to hit land. There is no trough sweeping it away, so unfortunately we could see a big threat. All assuming it forms.
whatalife
Moderator
GFS is quite insane for this one now.
I'll pass on that one.
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pcbjr
Member
Very good point, FS!
Brent
Member
12z GFS is offshore but gives a good scare from the Carolinas to Maine
