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Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey

Yeah this wave has a lot of convection and should have no issue sustaining it as a strong CCKW passes over it and there's little-no SAL...
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It could give Shane rain, of course it's wrong.
Not true. The only way I get rain is ULLs and hurricanes between matthew hermine and 2 ulls i got 25 inches of rain.

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Not true. The only way I get rain is ULLs and hurricanes between matthew hermine and 2 ulls i got 25 inches of rain.

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Hmm maybe it's #showmethemoney then. What are the starting odds and who has a few bucks for me to borrow.
 
Wow, things about to get fired up. Charlie's right, gfs will end up being right one day and i have this little feeling that gfs could be right. Not wish casting. We are about to reach our peak season. Just be alert and aware and ready.
 
Wow, things about to get fired up. Charlie's right, gfs will end up being right one day and i have this little feeling that gfs could be right. Not wish casting. We are about to reach our peak season. Just be alert and aware and ready.

I have a feeling the XTRP model will absolutely nail this over the next five days.

All hail the XTRP model.
 
Looking at the 500 levels, I think this storm is going to hit land. There is no trough sweeping it away, so unfortunately we could see a big threat. All assuming it forms.
 
Threatens NE US on the 12Z GFS. What protects the SE (offshore high too weak to bring it all the way into the SE US) allows it to recurve to just offshore of Cape Cod on 8/26 on the 12Z GFS (for the record).
 
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