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Tropical Major Hurricane Franklin

metwannabe said:
I haven't really been paying attention, but when troughs leave systems behind all kinds of wonka stuff can happen
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Yeah the icon was a little concerning with Franklin missing the trough then starting to limp west. That said the general troughing in the east should eventually push it ots even if it went west for a while unless we got a deep trough to its which has been hinted at on some models but isn't a lock.
 
SD said:
Yeah the icon was a little concerning with Franklin missing the trough then starting to limp west. That said the general troughing in the east should eventually push it ots even if it went west for a while unless we got a deep trough to its which has been hinted at on some models but isn't a lock.
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Felix2


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SD said:
Yeah the icon was a little concerning with Franklin missing the trough then starting to limp west. That said the general troughing in the east should eventually push it ots even if it went west for a while unless we got a deep trough to its which has been hinted at on some models but isn't a lock.
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This is why you never live model run to model run.
 
I can't remember but which model forst shifted Ian as a crossover storm for Florida and up the east coast?
 
The American Storm

@BigJoeBastardi
·
3h

What we said last week is turning out right. It would be the gulf system and what is now Franklin. Others are whack a moles that pop up and disappear and even if they stay stay out. Franklin next week for east coast Phase 2 mjo ,Tenn valley trough is a known eastern analog
 
metwannabe said:
Fwiw the ICON would at least make this slightly interesting
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icon_mslp_pcpn_watl_60.png



Well west.
 
I've seen some crazy things from Hispaniola before with track changes so I wouldnt rule anything out til it clears there
 
Huge west shift on Euro

Thisafternoon

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_watl_57.png



Greg Postel said an hour ago it wasnt a threat to the east coast but might be a threat to Bermuda. GFS, EURO AND ICON now are all well west of Bermuda
 
Ensemble a bit more spread out at 18z
 

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SD said:
Should be some nice waves next week at the beach from Franklin. Hopefully it stays far enough east it doesn't help pull the front through this weekend
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Probally will make it hotter from the sinking air.


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Not to get anyone too excited but the euro is about 2 degrees further west with Franklin. Closer to NC.
 
I realize it likely wont happen but anymore west and we could have some interaction between franklin and the storm to the SW.
 
12Z Euro continues the west trend with Franklin. With the storm to the SW lowering pressure to the SW the possibility of interaction is a bit more likely.
 
I just noticed that the title of this thread still has Franklin as a tropical storm. I think Franklin deserves a little more respect being a Cat 4 major hurricane. Bermuda will certainly feel the effects from this storm. We are fortunate that Franklin is stating to get caught up in the trough off the East Coast and will move off to the Northeast.
 
Brent said:
145 mph... Setting the bar high for the season
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That's a lot of energy exhausting from the sea to the sky! A couple of more of these and we should be ready to cool the northern hemisphere nicely going in to Autumn. Guidance has it going around Bermuda, which is good for them!
 
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