Here fishy fishy but something to watch I guess
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Tropical Major Hurricane Franklin
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Shaggy
Member
That east turn in August sets the stage for how the mid Atlantic ridge is toast with all the tutts. Need the adores and bermuda highs to merge and strengthen to keep the systems from turning north right away.
Fwiw the ICON would at least make this slightly interesting
I mean even the GFS with just a slight shift west lol
I haven't really been paying attention, but when troughs leave systems behind all kinds of wonka stuff can happen
BHS1975
Member
Yeah the icon was a little concerning with Franklin missing the trough then starting to limp west. That said the general troughing in the east should eventually push it ots even if it went west for a while unless we got a deep trough to its which has been hinted at on some models but isn't a lock.
BHS1975
Member
Shaggy
Member
Euro misses but is a lot closer. Long shot but hey we've seen stranger things
The general trend has been a weaker initial trough in the east but the weakness of still there and so far the WAR hasn't really moved west on the models.
Shaggy
Member
Got to have the ball on our court before we play the game. 12z runs get the ball closer to the court but it's just one run and 18z could easily revert back to east runs.
Shaggy
Member
I can't remember but which model forst shifted Ian as a crossover storm for Florida and up the east coast?
lexxnchloe
Member
The American Storm
@BigJoeBastardi
·
3h
What we said last week is turning out right. It would be the gulf system and what is now Franklin. Others are whack a moles that pop up and disappear and even if they stay stay out. Franklin next week for east coast Phase 2 mjo ,Tenn valley trough is a known eastern analog
@BigJoeBastardi
·
3h
What we said last week is turning out right. It would be the gulf system and what is now Franklin. Others are whack a moles that pop up and disappear and even if they stay stay out. Franklin next week for east coast Phase 2 mjo ,Tenn valley trough is a known eastern analog
lexxnchloe
Member
Brent
Member
I've seen some crazy things from Hispaniola before with track changes so I wouldnt rule anything out til it clears there
Ukie maybe
lexxnchloe
Member
Huge west shift on Euro
Thisafternoon
Greg Postel said an hour ago it wasnt a threat to the east coast but might be a threat to Bermuda. GFS, EURO AND ICON now are all well west of Bermuda
Thisafternoon
Greg Postel said an hour ago it wasnt a threat to the east coast but might be a threat to Bermuda. GFS, EURO AND ICON now are all well west of Bermuda
Shaggy
Member
Wonder if the weaker system north of the islands will allow it to be less influenced by the trough.
This is definitely true. If you remember, Florence looked like it was destined to be a fish storm before the trough missed it.