Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Brent]

953 mb from recon

Surprised it hasn't really strengthened, must just be too close to land

oh and the Euro caving? *faints*

 

[Brent]

100 mph sfmr near Cape Lookout interesting

perhaps it has strengthened

 

[jwb_84]

The power of the gulf stream

 

[Gibby]

Just lost power in Durham

 

[Yellow Snow]

The NHC's new forecast cone for the 5:00am advisory:

 

[ForsythSnow]

This storm just continues to look better. The radar imagery has really brightened up more around the eye and it almost looks to be closing up better and organizing. I'm wondering of we are experiencing the brown ocean effect here given the excessive rainfall ahead or the storm surge. I'm inclined to think it's the surge that's helping if that's the case.

 

[Yellow Snow]

This storm just continues to look better. The radar imagery has really brightened up more around the eye and it almost looks to be closing up better and organizing. I'm wondering of we are experiencing the brown ocean effect here given the excessive rainfall ahead or the storm surge. I'm inclined to think it's the surge that's helping if that's the case.

That certainly seems to be the case.

 

[WeatherLC]

I'm in the inner eye wall of the storm

 

[ForsythSnow]

Looks like we are nearing landfall the next 2 hours or so just north of ILM.

 

[ForsythSnow]

With each pane that gets added to the radar, it looks like her eye may close entirely. Crazy thing is not dying. Land friction may be sculpting the eye into a better one\.

 

[WeatherLC]

Hard to judge the wind speed here in Wilmington but it's strong. Transformers blowing out

 

[packfan98]

 

[deltadog03]

You have to give the GFS some kudos here ..euro did cave with the southern solution, but that debate for another time .Everyone stay safe.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Theme this morning is further SW with the model runs further inland. We’ll see if that’s a trend at 12Z or just a blip.

 

[Wildboutsnow]

So this is pretty much a done deal now? No southern track and no effects in NE Ga? Fascinating storm.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Theme this morning is further SW with the model runs further inland. We’ll see if that’s a trend at 12Z or just a blip.

That would give Columbia SC more heavy rain amounts if hurricane Florence further SW and further inland?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

That would give Columbia SC more heavy rain amounts if hurricane Florence further SW and further inland?

Yes. The best chance for the heaviest rain is to the north and NE of center of circulation.

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Florence looks pretty impressive for a Cat 1.

 

[NCSNOW]

Landfall officially in Wilmington very soon. Think Mike Sidell is in Wilmington but over on the mainland I'm sure. Imagine all the beaches, which are Barrier islands in NC along Onslow Bay from Kure/Carolina back around to Atlantic Beach are in bad shape from Surge.

New Bern has had it as about as bad as it can get from Surge pushing the Pamlico Sound back up into the mouth of the Neuse River and Trent River. Massive flooding taking shape there and after today its gonna reverse course and be coming back down at them from the river basin flooding after Florence rains herself out.