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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

Gfs lined up pretty well with the 18z run at 42 hrs then its slower/east at 48. Would produce huge totals in SE NC if that verified

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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
What's interesting is that the GFS, ICON, RGEM all come north with landfall but still get FLO further SW into SC than their previous run. Something to watch if they're going to the Euro little by little. I'm very interested in the Ukie here shortly.
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And their rainfall progs for this area have increased. Haven’t seen the GFS yet.
 
That has to be one of the most organized storms to have such low wind speed I've ever seen.

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Again if this were a snow storm I'd be ticked, but as it is I'm not complaining.... just hope you guys have minimal issues
Kylo said:
GFS is punishing with that track. If it's right. Still going after this too.
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I was wondering that if it had slowed so much that once it dropped into SC that maybe it would turn north further east. We shall see if GFS is correct with this. This track would be nuts.
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metwannabe said:
Again if this were a snow storm I'd be ticked, but as it is I'm not complaining.... just hope you guys have minimal issues

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That is quite the gradient. Still, the best model has 1" for Raleigh and GFS has 6-12" across Wake County.
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Kylo said:
I was wondering that if it had slowed so much that once it dropped into SC that maybe it would turn north further east. We shall see if GFS is correct with this. This track would be nuts.
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I thought that too but the ridge to the north drops down to replace the Bermuda ridge thats getting weakened by the shortwave and in that process Flo has to go West first.


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Man, she's trying really hard to close that eye off on the eastern side. I would stay up to watch longer, but it's about time for me to call it a night.
 
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