Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Cary_Snow95]

Fv3 with a small northern tick

 

[Metwannabe]

Inching closer

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[NWTENN]

The FV3, HRDPS and RGEM are showing a “firehose” setup like we saw with Matthew but for a much longer duration. The FV3 is showing 24-30 hours of it. Should be interesting to see if it verifies.

Yeah.... that "firehose" effect hammered houston with Harvey last year... multiple times I think. Just incredible rainfall rates with long duration.

 

[accu35]

After Looking at the GOES east satellite loop, she looks to be creeping west slightly sw

 

[GaWx]

Wobble or not, Flo has gone from a NNW heading to a WNW heading recently. Much more movement last couple of hours vs earlier.

 

[Weatherlover92]

Holding steady at 105mph...

...700 PM POSITION UPDATE... ...SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS APPROACHING CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA...
7:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13
Location: 33.9°N 76.4°W
Moving: WNW at 5 mph
Min pressure: 955 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

 

[Kylo]

Just want to see how this verifies. Euro has 1” QPF for Raleigh over next 60 hours. 2-4” for FAY.

 

[snowlover91]

After Looking at the GOES east satellite loop, she looks to be creeping west slightly sw

I would use radar to track movement, IR can give illusions especially without a well defined eye. Appears to be moving west or wnw.

 

[Weatherlover92]

I would use radar to track movement, IR can give illusions especially without a well defined eye. Appears to be moving west or wnw.

Yeah, going by radar it looks WNW.

 

[Tarheel1]

I swear the last few frames of radar ( time sensitive) it looks like it dropped SW!

 

[Stormsfury]

From 6pm to 7pm..
Due west. 0.1°W 0.0°N

 

[packfan98]

951.7 mb. She's really trying to put it back together right now.

 

[Tarheel1]

It looks on satellite, eye is getting better organized! Radar not bad either

 

[Stormsfury]

Last recon pass showed just north of die west with a 951.8mb pressure on drop.

 

[SD]

First big downpour

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[Tarheel1]

Would it be impossible for this to jump 20+ mph in strength before landfall? She’s got about 12-24 hours or so before landfall atleast?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Would it be impossible for this to jump 20+ mph in strength before landfall? She’s got about 12-24 hours or so before landfall atleast?

I feeel like 110mp is gettable

 

[Snownut]

Would it be impossible for this to jump 20+ mph in strength before landfall? She’s got about 12-24 hours or so before landfall atleast?

Nothing is impossible, I could see it making LF at 110

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[Brick Tamland]

It looks a little north of Wilmington to me.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Flo is looking healthy. Convection blew up fast and in a hurry around the eye. Not sure how much lower she can go with shallow water and coastline ahead but I will say this isn’t the worst she’s looked in the past 24 hours