Brent
Member
Looks a lot better all the sudden but will it last
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Looks a lot better all the sudden but will it last
champal3003
Member
Looking at the Goes satellites, it looks like convection is blowing up around the south side of center and starting to wrap around as if its about to make a run at gaining strength.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector.php?sat=G16§or=eus
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector.php?sat=G16§or=eus
snowlover91
Member
Lightning in the south side of the eyewall.
Yep definitely looking more like a hurricane again.... never guess with intensity
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Brent
Member
normally I'd say the 3km NAM is out to lunch(because well it usually is with these) but it does make you wonder
Snowflowxxl
Member
This storm has defied all logic up to this point, why not make a run back at becoming a major! Prayers for Wilmington, I’m scared to see what it looks like post storm
champal3003
Member
Wow!!! This thing will def have to be watched closely with that convection blowing up now. That would be a monster.
have a feeling this is going to surprise anyone who decides not to evacuate because it's weakening... this storm is huge, and going to have a big storm surge, at the very least... Katrina went from Cat 5 to Cat 3 at landfall. Also, who can leave their dogs behind? I'm taking mine with me or dying with them riding it out.
Kylo
Member
FWIW, the 0z UKmet, like the Euro, doesn't get Flo above 34N, and dives deep into SC. GFS doesn't get it below 34N. So the 2 best models against the rest, will be interesting to see who wins.
Looks like FV3 get's it right to 34N at 30 hours.
Looks like FV3 get's it right to 34N at 30 hours.
It looks like its starting to slow down a bit as well
The FV3 about same location as it's 18z location and maybe a tick south of the GFS
thanks for the report on the ukie
I’m looking at the Dvorak loop (hopefully correctly) and the SW eyewall looks to be exploding right now. Florence still has some fight left in her
BHS1975
Member
0z Euro run will be critical
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
BHS1975
Member
I wouldn’t say the ukie is the best, just gets lucky.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Stormsfury
Member
Watch the outflow west of the hurricane...that's our hint right now of the future movement on the slowdown..
Ridge building....
That convection on the SW side of the eye is going bonkers right now. Anything left out there to hinder it besides the coastline?
Stormsfury
Member
Florence is moving away from a shear axis that disrupted her today.
agreed! also notice how the clouds almost get squashed on western and northern portion as well.
THOSE CLOUD TOPS ARE COOLING AT AN ACCELERATED RATE