It's how we roll...
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Good old Hurricane Irma 2017 says hey remember she was all over place in even 48 hours out major shifts were taking place
FWIW, 00Z NAVGEM had a similar track to 00z EURO.
Yeah and this mess is worrysome. The euro ensembles also showed a bend west. If this thing does bend west 6-12hrs earlier it will put western SC and eastern GA in the crosshairs when they may have felt all clear.
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS FLORENCE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY... ...RESTRENGTHENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY...
8:00 AM AST Tue Sep 11
Location: 26.4°N 64.6°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 950 mb
Max sustained: 130 mph
8:00 AM AST Tue Sep 11
Location: 26.4°N 64.6°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 950 mb
Max sustained: 130 mph
Would 939 mb to 950 mb be considered slight weakening ? That seems pretty significant to me.
Personally I'm starting to feel a little better for mby and I'll probably wait until the 12 Z Suites to really start to relax somewhat. But I am starting to get concerned for the SC folks
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Sandbar
Member
In my opinion there is a reason why the NHC has the track where they do. I know the EURO is the cats meow and all buts its jumping all over the place too. Until they (NHC) move it to South Carolina I'm gonna assume its hitting between Wilmington and Cape Lookout
BHS1975
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The Euro hasn't been jumping all over the place, the model & its ensemble mean have been centered on the NC/SC border or Horry County, SC virtually every run for the past several days.
06z HWRF is going west into SC too (after making landfall in NC that is)
BHS1975
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It progressively shifted west esp in the last few days of the forecast, but other models, especially the GEFS suite were not even close.
W
WeatherLC
Guest
Isn't this an analomoly of metrology what is happening in terms of track?
Yeah, it hasn’t really waffled much IMO! It’s consistently been showing way more SC impacts than all othe models, looks like it may score a victory!
Yes, 95% of hurricanes on this approach to the Carolinas would be accelerating to the NE after landfall, picked up by troughs
I was trying to say this yesterday but the contingent that thought this would go NE bc the gfs wouldn't accept it.
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
From the other board!Yeah what webber said it made pretty large jogs West and South in last 72 hours particularly the euro... went from like GA/SC coast to basically south florida and then went up the western side of state
BHS1975
Member
Looks like it’s all down the the break down of the Bermuda ridge and the building of the Ohio valley one.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Another view!