Showmeyourtds
Member
Don’t hold your breath.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Don’t hold your breath.
Whats interesting...and many have said this, including you...that the EPS was firing waning shots with even some tracks into GA....I discounted them, at the time, but maybe not anymore?
packfan98
Moderator
The UK met looks like a pretty good compromise between the Euro and GFS with more weight going towards the Euro.
Edit: I think we will see the official track ease back to where it was 24 hours ago, but with it stalling closer to the coast instead of further inland.
Edit: I think we will see the official track ease back to where it was 24 hours ago, but with it stalling closer to the coast instead of further inland.
I think they are going to play a lot of catching up today! SC residents, that is! All we heard about yesterday was the N shift, outerbanks scrapers and such! Shocking changes overnight! The governor is SC, is looking genius right now! I thought the Evacs and school closings for today, were a little overkill!! Not now!!
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
So the Euro went to Myrtle Beach and the NHC track still has Morehead City. Big difference. The models today are going to be critical. But it looks like Flo is coming in later again according to the NHC track. Starting to wonder if it will ever get here. But I guess it is good in giving more time to figure out exactly where she is going.
cyclogent
Member
sweet jeebus 922
NoSnowATL
Member
Damn!sweet jeebus 922
Little surprised the NHC track did not shift further south
Sweet mama.... that's disaster written all over it.sweet jeebus 922
WeatherAddiction
Member
NHC recently has been stubborn to move the track now but invest 95L could actually make that happen. The fact that it could strengthen the ridge is a real possibility now.
Fear not it’s the NAM 3k which is horrible
BHS1975
Member
The euro and fv3 are in lock step. I think it’s time for an early retirement for the gfs.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
The ukmet and Euro were actually very similar with their tracks with the difference being how far north/inland she got before the crawl westward. Florence going to be moving at a pretty good clip and if the ridge builds in just a tad slower then the NHC track is spot on and more inland NC issues, if it builds in a little quicker then SC coast definitely in play..... I do not envy the NHC at all
FWIW, 00Z NAVGEM had a similar track to 00z EURO.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The VDM (vortex dat message) shows Florence's eye is 40 miles wide now. Yikes.
Run the loop (delta's favorite sat loop) and you can see the apparent short term path.... now just how quickly the high builds in as to when it slows and turns
https://atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12
https://atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
For the first time ever, the NWS RAH has issued a hurricane watch for a portion of its CWA. Wow.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
So, the Euro has been saying NC forever, while the others were a little further north into NC, and then all of a sudden the Euro shifts south to Myrtle Beach. Madness.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
From the SC DOT:
I-26 eastbound is now closed between Charleston and Columbia. Reversed lanes should be open to traffic at noon. #HurricaneFlorence
I-26 eastbound is now closed between Charleston and Columbia. Reversed lanes should be open to traffic at noon. #HurricaneFlorence
It’s pretty crazy to have less clarity as we get closer to the event.