Claycochaser
Member
Sorry to interrupt the play-by-play...but does anyone else notice that she's in the process of cancelling her EWRC and exploding? Taking on a classic annular look as well.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
I have notice a trend with the 00z models a Stronger Ridge opposed to the weaking earlier models had it doing..
Brent
Member
GFS now headed for SC... really???
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Yes. Every model tonight has a stouter ridge for sure.
Stormlover
Member
Yes, it is looking much stronger now.
Seeing that the GFS is not coupled with the ocean why do we even look at it?
Brent
Member
into Myrtle Beach at 132... well...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
What’s a few hundred miles west in one run for the GFS.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
How appropriate. At hour 144 on GFS Florence is over no other place than Florence, SC. At least the GFS has a sense of humor!
GFS has no idea where this system is going to go.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Holy **** the GFS is soooo bad
Did Ukmet shift south or west at all on the 0z?
bud006
Member
Just pulled myself from Braves baseball on the West Coast (#ChopOn, y'all) to look at the board and the models.
Any westward bias at this point changes the game inland. A landfall at Myrtle vs. north of Wilmington has long-term impacts well away from the coast.
Wish this would turn out to sea, but not seeing that as an option at this point. Everybody be safe!
--30--
Any westward bias at this point changes the game inland. A landfall at Myrtle vs. north of Wilmington has long-term impacts well away from the coast.
Wish this would turn out to sea, but not seeing that as an option at this point. Everybody be safe!
--30--
Kylo
Member
Yes, looks that way to me at 72. Will know for sure in 20 mins.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=1&ech=72&carte=1021
Kylo
Member
Even the models that are well east, CMC/GFS eventually dive west into the Carolinas eventually. Not good.
Saw this on the other board. Last 3 runs of the GFS. Bless its heart it’s really trying. It’s not its fault it isn’t coupled with the ocean
still don't trust the gfs.. those 'historic' low pressures are major outliers. Gfs against NHC and all other models, I'll take NHC. Although a lot of people will owe some big league apologies to the american model if that looping action becomes reality.
Yellow Snow
Member
GFS, you're drunk - go home.
Taylor C
Member
Wow, she is yanking west. You still need to be thinking a South Carolina or Georgia landfall is possible. EURO ensembles will just not let go of this idea, and I certainly see how it is possible if this storm continues to move faster, westward, and at a lower latitude like it is doing now.