Tropical Major Hurricane Delta

[SD]

View attachment 49856

Really thought that it would start to weaken as it approached the coast.... Maybe not

 

[accu35]

I do see recon showing a little more Northerly component (to the WNW movement) *shorter term movement* Biggest thing is can this avoid a landfall over the Yucatan.

I agree it does show a Northerly component. Levi also mentioned if Delta doesn't entwine with Gamma due to Gamma sw movement than expect a east trend in the future.

 

[accu35]

Really thought that it would start to weaken as it approached the coast.... Maybe not

That's because the water are very warm in the western gulf

 

[Metwannabe]

Really thought that it would start to weaken as it approached the coast.... Maybe not

Next frame is actually 964 at landfall so some minor weakening, also shows some monster rain totals NE Ga/upstate SC, WNC thinks to some serious upsloping

 

[Brent]

RI continues

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 83.5W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Next frame is actually 964 at landfall so some minor weakening, also shows some monster rain totals NE Ga/upstate SC, WNC thinks to some serious upsloping

Yeah was just looking at this. Big time totals, some foot plus areas along the southern escarpment of NC.

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Chazwin]

Yeah was just looking at this. Big time totals, some foot plus areas along the southern escarpment of NC.

Yeah.. the angle of approach, interaction with the wedge front and cold front sets up a perfect upslope for those areas..

 

[jackendrickwx]

RI continues

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 83.5W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

Can we just take a second and gawk at the 100 mph gain this thing has made in 30 hours?

 

[Brent]

Euro is almost in Texas again lol

 

[Broken024]

Who did Louisiana piss off

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

CAT 4 approaching CAT 5 and we still don’t have a cleared out eye? Hmmmm I haven’t seen a storm with no cleared out eye that is this strong .. very interesting .. would assume she has to pop one out here soon we can’t go CAT 5 with NO clear eye right?

 

[wxdaniel]

Who did Louisiana piss off

The Voodoo school just opened up this year.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[deltadog03]

Here is some dropsonde info for the upper drops in the GOM. Winds (on this sounding) are out of the SSE at 500mb

https://tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA9-0526A-DELTA_dropsonde1_20201006-1755.png

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

Both 12z HWRF AND HMON AT 950

 

[ForsythSnow]

CAT 4 approaching CAT 5 and we still don’t have a cleared out eye? Hmmmm I haven’t seen a storm with no cleared out eye that is this strong .. very interesting .. would assume she has to pop one out here soon we can’t go CAT 5 with NO clear eye right?

Has to do with the RI and size of the eye. It's visible on IR to some degree but because it was a TS around 24 hours ago and its eye is now only 4 miles wide, it's hard to clear with the pressure it has is my guess.

 

[Brick Tamland]

View attachment 49856

That looks like it could be worse for New Orleans than Katrina was.

 

[Shaggy]

Both 12z HWRF AND HMON AT 950

View attachment 49866

View attachment 49867

Models really converging on this area now.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Wow the most recent images on IR show a recent almost instantaneous blow up of thunderstorms around what appears to be that extremely tiny eye ... truly something I have not seen in my short years of tracking hurricanes ... just insane stuff