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Pattern Magnificent March

The SLP track is over the Apps so I would guess that's why you have the QPF min southeast of I-40. Isn't that a pervasive problem with clippers?

9-km ECMWF USA Surface United States Precip Type & MSLP 102.png 9-km ECMWF USA Surface United States 24-h Precipitation 114.png
 
Well, the snow has stopped here. That was nice to see. Hope we get a bigger storm Sunday.
 
packfan98 said:
If we get more snow this weekend, the 1960 analog comparison seems to have merit. I think it has merit regardless. Pretty awesome March for the Eastern US.
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Yea this March is also right up there with years like 1914, 1924, 1926, 1932, 1934, 1947 that had multiple events east of the mountains. There have been at least 5 winter storms that produced 3”+ of snow somewhere on the 25th of March in the Triangle, it’s a very popular date to score something decent at the last possible minute around here. It’s nice to finally get a glimpse of what March used to be like at times in the good old days
 
Lol, Wake Co. split coming in from the west this time:

Radar.jpg
 
Big fatties been coming down for almost a solid hr now. No doubt 1 inch+ per hour rates. Sad thing is the half inch covering everything but the road from earlier this morning,melted while this snow has been falling. Temps just to warm. I see how stokes county pic from webb came to fruition. Would have easily done the same here, if we'd had these rates earlier. Oh well it's a big win, overperformer for me.
 
Weeee
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I'm guessing Charlotte will sit this one out again, that's fine. Good luck to my brothers to the North of me.

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CMC is too far north. Euro has trended south and was good but this run will be telling. 72 hours out, what could go wrong?
 
From the crappy maps, the Euro looks better than yesterday's run. The low is a little further south, and the high pressure is stronger and further south. This could trend our way with the cold air at least because it's a CAD setup.
 
The snow accumulated nicely for a while. Surprising since the rates were low and surface temps at 35. Guess if it's persistent then things can happen. Really thought we would miss out here in chapel hill.
 
packfan98 said:
From the crappy maps, the Euro looks better than yesterday's run. The low is a little further south, and the high pressure is stronger and further south. This could trend our way with the cold air at least because it's a CAD setup.
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Sounds good. I think the GFS and Icon are on board. Hope someone posts the Euro map.
 
packfan98 said:
From the crappy maps, the Euro looks better than yesterday's run. The low is a little further south, and the high pressure is stronger and further south. This could trend our way with the cold air at least because it's a CAD setup.
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It didn't look much better to me. But I'm only seeing the 24 hour panels, which don't line up with last night's run. Hopefully, someone can post something so we can compare.
 
Hopefully, the other models will move towards the Icon. I liked the 6 inches it had here. Maybe this will be another case of the models getting better as we get closer.
 
Nomanslandva said:
This one counts sleet/zr as snow so fwiw. View attachment 4671
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Thanks! That maybe looks slightly better than the 0z run posted on the other page. It's hard to tell for sure since the maps are from different sources and have different color schemes. But it looks better, just eyeballing.
 
The high is a smidge weaker than the last run on the Euro but that's not saying much at all because it's still a 1045 high on the Euro which is getting awfully close to record territory in parts of southern Quebec. The large-scale easterly flow impinging against the Apps is liable to be impressive w/ a system like this so I wouldn't be surprised if there's mixed p-types (sleet/freezing rain) and the models poorly handle low-level temps.
 
Webberweather53 said:
The high is a smidge weaker than the last run on the Euro but that's not saying much at all because it's still a 1045 high on the Euro which is getting awfully close to record territory in parts of southern Quebec. The large-scale easterly flow impinging against the Apps is liable to be impressive w/ a system like this so I wouldn't be surprised if there's mixed p-types (sleet/freezing rain) and the models poorly handle low-level temps.
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Here's the corresponding MSLP percentiles, you see values in the top 99.5 percentile (maroon/dark red) you're knocking on the door of record territory in south-central Quebec. Very impressive to say the least.
us_f96.png
 
Tarheel1 said:
DC’s snow totals are going down faster than UNC in the NCAA tourney!! Storm , they are ready for you to leave! They were looking at 6-12” as of yesterday, now lucky to get 3” in metro! Good work and job well done! The MA thread is pure gold again right now!
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I'm right at 6 where I am and DC was around 4.5 at 2 o'clock and they are getting into a heavier band again . Largest storm this late in March for 1964. I did them no favors this go around

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