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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

Well at least we've proven we can do it at 12z, even if it is the GFS. Survive and advance.
Desperately need the cmc and euro to come west before google comes in at 2 for me to feel a little better. Just so hard tonight ore the east trend on the king even with the others showing us what we want to see
 
I know this will change, but this is starting to look like the Jan 24-25 Carolina crusher, just 50-75 miles farther north and west. Hopefully that GSP to Anderson and Pickens minimum goes away before too long.
I wouldn't worry about that right now. That's something the HI-RES models will need to take care of
 
I wonder how tight the gradient will be with this. On Jan 24, 2000, I got 1 foot while Spartanburg and Gaffney both 20 miles to my north and NW got 0.
IMO this a much different set up in that you have strong ULL dynamics back to the west where if this scenario plays out, you won’t see those spots getting completely blanked.
 
Desperately need the cmc and euro to come west before google comes in at 2 for me to feel a little better. Just so hard tonight ore the east trend on the king even with the others showing us what we want to see
Agree, but I still want to see the further west options thrown out vs everything trending east

West trend here on the GFS with increasing ridging off the Mid Atlantic coast

IMG_4728.gif
 
There really is a strong agreement on the overall picture across the model suites, it's just the details that matter a lot more with this one than our most recent storm. Completely dynamic setup. A little more dig and more axis tilt on the Euro and it'll look closer to the GFS.
 
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