Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[AL/TN Line]

Exactly what I said yesterday I think...heavy precip going to make it hard to get accretion as well as bring down warm temps aloft. This may be something the whole state has to worry about except the NW corner. JMO

Jealousy is not good for your health, think positive.

 

[PARSONBROWN]

If he doesn't believe it then why did he show it ?

Let me call and ask him

 

[HSVweather]

If he doesn't believe it then why did he show it ?

He went through all the models just to show e difference. He was explaining each one as he did it.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

He went through all the models just to show e difference. He was explaining each one as he did it.

Well its good that he goes through all of the scenarios.

 

[accu35]

I'll be chasing in MS, I'll be leaving probably later today

 

[crecre9]

HRRR shows a much warmer day tomorrow that any previous model output I've seen. Not sure how reliable it is past 24 hours.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I'll be chasing in MS, I'll be leaving probably later today

Ouch. Kinda dangerous to chase a storm when a lot of ice is involved. Be careful.

 

[SWVAwxfan]

Aren't the roads already getting a bit rough in MS?

 

[HSVweather]

Aren't the roads already getting a bit rough in MS?

North Mississippi

 

[HSVweather]

Aren't the roads already getting a bit rough in MS?

 

[Storm5]

HRRR shows a much warmer day tomorrow that any previous model output I've seen. Not sure how reliable it is past 24 hours.
View attachment 74956

It was colder vs the 12z run . Can’t discount a warm solution . The nam is all in on the warmth


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[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like the HRRR is picking up on latent heat release from raindrops, which is warming things up, don’t know if I buy it that much but that’s possible

 

[Flotown]

HRRR shows a much warmer day tomorrow that any previous model output I've seen. Not sure how reliable it is past 24 hours.
View attachment 74956

that gradient is nuts yet suspect

 

[Storm5]

By 16z Monday the 18z Nam is pounding the NW corner of bama

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[crecre9]

18z nam looking colder vs. 12z

 

[Storm5]

Lol still rain but look the nam finally got a clue with the low track 12z vs 18z

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[HSVweather]

18z NAM a touch colder in north central and north Alabama vs 12z

 

[accu35]

Ouch. Kinda dangerous to chase a storm when a lot of ice is involved. Be careful.

I will, I'll be leaving later and getting room. I'm only 3 hours away. Thinking Jackson MS should do well.

 

[Brent]

Its so close ahhh

 

[ghost1]

I'll be chasing in MS, I'll be leaving probably later today

Between Oxford and Tunica looks like a sweet spot