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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

NWS Birmingham has expanded the ice accumulations further east:

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My temperature has been hovering between 32 and 35 so far today. I got a little rain earlier, but it's not yet cold enough to accumulate on surfaces.
 
Heavy precipitation will most likely hurt even more if you want ice in BHM.
Exactly what I said yesterday I think...heavy precip going to make it hard to get accretion as well as bring down warm temps aloft. This may be something the whole state has to worry about except the NW corner. JMO
 
James Spann doubles down and says no winter weather for Birmingham. Only issues will be black ice.

I tend to agree with him with the way things look right now. It can obviously still change, but it is starting to look like that.

18z HRRR is running now. Lets see what it does.
 
HRRR not great. One hour of frozen Precipitation for metro and then back to rain. Temps warm up as heavier stuff moves through.



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Exactly what I said yesterday I think...heavy precip going to make it hard to get accretion as well as bring down warm temps aloft. This may be something the whole state has to worry about except the NW corner. JMO

I think that heavy precip will be a problem with those whose temps are right close to freezing(31-32), latent heat release will also hurt. For those in the 20’s are just gonna have big problems with ice.
 
The nws in bhm didn’t expand the ice . But they did just put out a tweet with the ice graphic from early this am which is weird
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