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Pattern June Presented by: Heat and Humidity

SD said:
Meant to add I am at the beach next week. Expect this to turn into a 17 contour upper low with a 1046 wedge high, record low maxes and daily rainfall records
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Yes, for everyone but Jonesville, which, of course, will remain a scorched wasteland of drought and utter misery, engulfed in the undying flames of Hades for all eternity.
 
blueheronNC said:
Rain hole dead center on Raleigh for next 10 days. Welcome to summer.View attachment 43253
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Even if this were to verify (and this is just a 10 day period on a highly unreliable op GFS), RDU is now about the wettest in the country with +100-120 mm anomaly (+4-5”) and wetter than 99% of June 23rds on record!

9F964A4F-5492-4AAF-8F1B-80068376FF2E.gif83F89F6D-F5DA-4A10-91C4-162F6476E57C.gif

Edit: There’s still no long lasting intense SE heat in sight. I give the very wet soils in much of the SE credit for this.
 
GaWx said:
Even if this were to verify (and this is just a 10 day period on a highly unreliable op GFS), RDU is now about the wettest in the country with +100-120 mm anomaly (+4-5”) and wetter than 99% of June 23rds on record!
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Anomalies aside, 23.76” at RDU with half the year in the books isn’t that impressive in absolute terms. Still one of the driest spots in NC for the year so far with many parts of the Southeast already double that.

A530EC24-82EA-4E6C-8661-CDBE99ACE7F0.jpeg
 
blueheronNC said:
Anomalies aside, 23.76” at RDU with half the year in the books isn’t that impressive in absolute terms. Still one of the driest spots in NC for the year so far with many parts of the Southeast already double that.
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Unless things get crazy next week I will likely finish May and June basically average on precip.
 
Webberweather53 said:
As much as I'll enjoy the rain from this, this is definitely the kind of pattern you do not wanna see during the middle of the hurricane season. A retrograding cut upper low underneath a big SE Canada ridge is the classic recipe for getting a hurricane to strike the SE US.

View attachment 43259
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One of the most classic examples of a retrograding cut off upper low over allowing a hurricane to pinwheel into the SE US.

Hugo (1989)

Steering Charts of Hurricane Hugo.gif
 
blueheronNC said:
Anomalies aside, 23.76” at RDU with half the year in the books isn’t that impressive in absolute terms. Still one of the driest spots in NC for the year so far with many parts of the Southeast already double that.

View attachment 43260
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With normal YTD near 20”, the anomaly is almost +4”. Yes, nothing extreme and not nearly as wet as other locations, but flooding is a bigger risk than drought as of now. With still no heatwave in sight, there’s no reason to be worried about drought anytime soon.
 
NAM has storms after midnight up here into Thursday morning for many in NC
 
Webberweather53 said:
As much as I'll enjoy the rain from this, this is definitely the kind of pattern you do not wanna see during the middle of the hurricane season. A retrograding cut upper low underneath a big SE Canada ridge is the classic recipe for getting a hurricane to strike the SE US.

View attachment 43259
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With the Arctic torching this type of pattern is more common.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
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