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Pattern June Gloom

RBR71 said:
According to my research, AI lol, coldest recorded June low for RR is 48. Broke that by 2° this morning
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Judging by you typing “AI lol”, it seems like you’re taking AI with a grain here, which is smart because AI is way off for Roxboro’s record cold June low for some reason. The only way 48 can be considered their monthly low is if AI goes back only to 2009. They had 38 in 2006 per this source:


Regardless, your 44 is quite impressive considering you came within 6 of the monthly low, 44 is ~16 BN for a low for the date, and 44 is the coldest June low since after 2006.
 
This morning was a refreshing low of 60 at KSAV and 64 at KSVN. Dewpoints are in the very nice/rare for June mid 40s. So, needless to say, I intend to walk at one of the parks this evening as I did yesterday.
 
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I could be mistaken but I do believe we are likely to be hottest in the early part of a nino summer versus the 2nd half, feel free to correct me if I am wrong.

It still seems like we morph into a western US ridge and north atlantic/bermuda ridge with a weakness in the middle. If you want to go full on rain/humidity/high pwat this is the way
 
SD said:
I could be mistaken but I do believe we are likely to be hottest in the early part of a nino summer versus the 2nd half, feel free to correct me if I am wrong.

It still seems like we morph into a western US ridge and north atlantic/bermuda ridge with a weakness in the middle. If you want to go full on rain/humidity/high pwat this is the way
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Per the following composite of summer months preceding high end moderate or stronger Nino since 1950 fwiw, you have the right idea due to the avg of Augusts cooling considerably on avg in the E US vs June/July. July on average has actually been the warmest in a large portion of the E coast states:

June
IMG_0596.png

July:
IMG_0597.png

August:
IMG_0598.png

Then Sep on avg warmed up:
IMG_0599.png

Then the avg of Oct cooled down:
IMG_0600.png

Then the avg warmed back up for Nov/Dec:
IMG_0601.pngIMG_0602.png

Then Jan/Feb on avg have been chilly in the SE:




IMG_0604.pngIMG_0605.png
 
GaWx said:
Judging by you typing “AI lol”, it seems like you’re taking AI with a grain here, which is smart because AI is way off for Roxboro’s record cold June low for some reason. The only way 48 can be considered their monthly low is if AI goes back only to 2009. They had 38 in 2006 per this source:


Regardless, your 44 is quite impressive considering you came within 6 of the monthly low, 44 is ~16 BN for a low for the date, and 44 is the coldest June low since after 2006.
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I'm not Roxboro but for Roanoke Rapids I see they hit 42 back in 2006
 
First week/half of June last year was very nice as well, some cool mornings and low humidity but then the heat cranked for 6-7 weeks nonstop. Then August was pretty pleasant for August .. remember the highs in the 60s in early Aug?
 
54.9 this morning.

Currently 75.6 at home but mid 80s up here in Richmond.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
First week/half of June last year was very nice as well, some cool mornings and low humidity but then the heat cranked for 6-7 weeks nonstop. Then August was pretty pleasant for August .. remember the highs in the 60s in early Aug?
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we had a ridiculous 90s streak at GSP, something like 35 in a row. + our first 100 in years. then a week of august wedge, lol
 
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